Monarcas Morelia 2-0 Leones Negros Udeg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 4 May 2025

Monarcas Morelia
2 - 0 HT 1 - 0
Leones Negros Udeg
📅04/05/2025 · 🕒04:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Mexico - Primera A – 2024/2025

Monarcas Morelia vs Leones Negros Udeg Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.06
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
29%
3.1
Under/Over 2.5
Under
51%
1.87
Over
49%
1.87
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
54%
1.73
No
46%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1
27%
2-3
46%
4-5
22%
6+
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
2%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
16%
2/1
3%
2/2
16%
2/X
5%
Our Pick = the view of our model: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a bet.

Monarcas Morelia v Leones Negros Udeg — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Monarcas Morelia The Market 49%
Signal
AWAY Leones Negros Udeg The Market 32%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Strong
1.62 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.10
1.18 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.34
Average Attack Strength Average
Weak Defense Strength Strong
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
342 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2 Yellow Cards 5

Monarcas Morelia vs Leones Negros Udeg Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Monarcas Morelia
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Leones Negros Udeg
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
6 Corners 2
The Meetings
21.03.2025 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg 2-1 HT 1-0 Monarcas Morelia Monarcas Morelia MEK2
06.10.2024 Monarcas Morelia Monarcas Morelia 0-2 HT 0-1 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg MEK2
05.04.2024 Monarcas Morelia Monarcas Morelia 0-2 HT 0-2 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg MEK2
19.11.2023 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg 2-0 HT 2-0 Monarcas Morelia Monarcas Morelia MEK2
16.11.2023 Monarcas Morelia Monarcas Morelia 2-1 HT 2-1 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg MEK2
02.09.2023 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg 0-0 HT 0-0 Monarcas Morelia Monarcas Morelia MEK2
REVIEW Monarcas Morelia vs Leones Negros Udeg
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Monarcas Morelia took care of Leones Negros Udeg 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

True to our pre-match read, our model had Monarcas Morelia as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 49% and both teams to score at 54%, coin-flips both.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Leones Negros Udeg led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Monarcas Morelia and 1.50 for Leones Negros Udeg.

Monarcas Morelia vs Leones Negros Udeg Result & Final Score

Monarcas Morelia 2 - 0 Leones Negros Udeg in the Mexico - Primera A on 04/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Monarcas Morelia vs Leones Negros Udeg Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Monarcas Morelia win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Monarcas Morelia 45%, draw 26%, Leones Negros Udeg 29%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Monarcas Morelia), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Monarcas Morelia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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