Tersana Giza 1-2 Sporting Alexandria — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - 2nd Division, 4 May 2025

📅04/05/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.75
Draw
23%
3.28
Away
27%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.54
Over 2.5
37%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.33
No
62%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
42%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
21%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
54%
-3.3pp
23%
Draw
28%
-4.7pp
27%
Away Win
18%
+8.1pp
63%
Under 2.5
61%
+2.4pp
37%
Over 2.5
39%
-2.4pp
38%
BTTS Yes
39%
-0.8pp
62%
BTTS No
61%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tersana Giza EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Sporting Alexandria EU Bookmakers 21%
+26% / +26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
3.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.51/1.31
+118% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -46% / -18%
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
361 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tersana Giza
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Sporting Alexandria
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
46% Ball Possession 54%
7 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
30.12.2024 Sporting Alexandria 0-1 HT 0-1 Tersana Giza Tersana Giza MSR2
12.06.2024 Sporting Alexandria 1-0 HT 0-0 Tersana Giza Tersana Giza MSR2P
07.06.2024 Tersana Giza Tersana Giza 3-0 HT 1-0 Sporting Alexandria MSR2P
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tersana Giza
1-2
AWAY Sporting Alexandria
67% Ball Possession 33%
15 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Tersana Giza vs Sporting Alexandria
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting Alexandria nicked a narrow win over Tersana Giza 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Tersana Giza at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Tersana Giza had 67% of the ball to Sporting Alexandria's 33%, shots finished 15-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Tersana Giza had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Tersana Giza and 0.33 for Sporting Alexandria.

What was the final score of Tersana Giza vs Sporting Alexandria?

Tersana Giza 1-2 Sporting Alexandria in the Egypt - 2nd Division on 04/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tersana Giza vs Sporting Alexandria?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tersana Giza win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Tersana Giza 50%, draw 23%, Sporting Alexandria 27%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Tersana Giza) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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