Sport Boys 4-2 Alianza Universidad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 4 May 2025

📅04/05/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.64
Draw
29%
3.72
Away
27%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.03
Over 2.5
49%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.75
No
47%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
9%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
57%
-12.2pp
29%
Draw
24%
+5.1pp
27%
Away Win
20%
+7.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
45%
+5.4pp
49%
Over 2.5
55%
-5.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
-0.5pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sport Boys EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Alianza Universidad EU Bookmakers 23%
-1% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -9%
1.64/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/1.37
-4% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -21%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
294 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 257 · 74%
25.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.9
23.2 Crosses 13.9
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sport Boys
1W-0D-4L
AWAY Alianza Universidad
0.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
1.46 xG 0.53
50% Ball Possession 50%
17 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 2
285 Passes 281
75% Pass Accuracy 75%
34 Box Touches 10
32 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
05.08.2021 Alianza Universidad Alianza Universidad 2-0 HT 2-0 Sport Boys Sport Boys PER
24.04.2021 Alianza Universidad Alianza Universidad 1-0 HT 1-0 Sport Boys Sport Boys PER
17.10.2020 Alianza Universidad Alianza Universidad 0-1 HT 0-0 Sport Boys Sport Boys PER
10.11.2019 Alianza Universidad Alianza Universidad 2-0 HT 0-0 Sport Boys Sport Boys PER
26.05.2019 Sport Boys Sport Boys 1-2 HT 0-0 Alianza Universidad Alianza Universidad PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sport Boys
4-2
AWAY Alianza Universidad
2.78 xG 2.36
28% Ball Possession 72%
13 Total Shots 15
8 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 5
146 Passes 438
79% Pass Accuracy 92%
14 Box Touches 31
7 Crosses 28
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sport Boys vs Alianza Universidad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sport Boys saw off Alianza Universidad 4-2. Half-time: 2-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Sport Boys as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Sport Boys had 28% of the ball to Alianza Universidad's 72%, shots finished 13-15, expected goals 2.78 to 2.36.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Alianza Universidad led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.40 goals for Sport Boys and 1.40 for Alianza Universidad.

What was the final score of Sport Boys vs Alianza Universidad?

Sport Boys 4-2 Alianza Universidad in the Peru - Premier League on 04/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sport Boys vs Alianza Universidad?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sport Boys win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Sport Boys 45%, draw 29%, Alianza Universidad 27%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sport Boys), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sport Boys) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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