Cusco FC 2-0 Universitario — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 4 May 2025

📅04/05/2025 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.46
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
33%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.62
Over 2.5
50%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.9
No
50%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
14%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
37%
+3.2pp
27%
Draw
30%
-2.7pp
33%
Away Win
33%
-0.5pp
50%
Under 2.5
58%
-8.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
42%
+8.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.6pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cusco FC EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Universitario EU Bookmakers 37%
+3% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -2%
1.19/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.12
+17% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +16%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
252 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 74%
14.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.7
19.8 Crosses 18.0
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cusco FC
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Universitario
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.06 xG 1.06
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
294 Passes 309
76% Pass Accuracy 78%
14 Box Touches 21
17 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 3
21.08.2024 Cusco FC Cusco FC 1-1 HT 0-1 Universitario Universitario PER
13.03.2024 Universitario Universitario 1-0 HT 1-0 Cusco FC Cusco FC PER
22.10.2023 Cusco FC Cusco FC 1-1 HT 0-0 Universitario Universitario PER
03.06.2023 Universitario Universitario 1-0 HT 1-0 Cusco FC Cusco FC PER
23.10.2021 Universitario Universitario 2-1 HT 0-0 Cusco FC Cusco FC PER
19.10.2020 Universitario Universitario 3-2 HT 1-0 Cusco FC Cusco FC PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cusco FC
2-0
AWAY Universitario
0.92 xG 1.21
60% Ball Possession 40%
9 Total Shots 19
5 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 6
457 Passes 264
89% Pass Accuracy 83%
8 Box Touches 25
11 Crosses 29
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Cusco FC vs Universitario
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cusco FC saw off Universitario 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 27% / 33% — and on the day Cusco FC made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Cusco FC had 60% of the ball to Universitario's 40%, shots finished 9-19, expected goals 0.92 to 1.21.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Universitario led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Cusco FC and 1.50 for Universitario.

What was the final score of Cusco FC vs Universitario?

Cusco FC 2-0 Universitario in the Peru - Premier League on 04/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cusco FC vs Universitario?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cusco FC win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Cusco FC 40%, draw 27%, Universitario 33%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cusco FC) — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Cusco FC)
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
PER More Peru - Premier League
4 May 2025
21:00 Sport Boys vs Alianza Universidad Analysis →
23:30 Alianza Atletico vs ADT Analysis →