Cusco FC 1-1 Universitario — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 21 Aug 2024

📅21/08/2024 · 🕒01:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.27
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
28%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
Over 2.5
41%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.95
No
56%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
40%
+2.4pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.1pp
28%
Away Win
32%
-3.5pp
44%
BTTS Yes
47%
-3.6pp
56%
BTTS No
53%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cusco FC EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Universitario EU Bookmakers 36%
+2% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +7%
1.34/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.10
+12% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / +52%
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
276 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 77%
14.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.4
17.5 Crosses 16.5
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cusco FC
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Universitario
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.96 xG 1.26
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
257 Passes 326
74% Pass Accuracy 79%
13 Box Touches 24
15 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 3
13.03.2024 Universitario Universitario 1-0 HT 1-0 Cusco FC Cusco FC PER
22.10.2023 Cusco FC Cusco FC 1-1 HT 0-0 Universitario Universitario PER
03.06.2023 Universitario Universitario 1-0 HT 1-0 Cusco FC Cusco FC PER
23.10.2021 Universitario Universitario 2-1 HT 0-0 Cusco FC Cusco FC PER
19.10.2020 Universitario Universitario 3-2 HT 1-0 Cusco FC Cusco FC PER
24.11.2019 Universitario Universitario 1-0 HT 1-0 Cusco FC Cusco FC PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cusco FC
1-1
AWAY Universitario
1.44 xG 0.53
69% Ball Possession 31%
15 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
468 Passes 168
87% Pass Accuracy 68%
19 Box Touches 6
36 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Cusco FC vs Universitario
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cusco FC and Universitario couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Cusco FC at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (59%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

On the day, Cusco FC had 69% of the ball to Universitario's 31%, shots finished 15-11, expected goals 1.44 to 0.53.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Universitario led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Cusco FC and 1.50 for Universitario.

What was the final score of Cusco FC vs Universitario?

Cusco FC 1-1 Universitario in the Peru - Premier League on 21/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cusco FC vs Universitario?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cusco FC win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Cusco FC 42%, draw 29%, Universitario 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Cusco FC), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cusco FC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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