Deportivo Garcilaso vs Union Comercio Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Deportivo Garcilaso v Union Comercio — Team-Based Signals
Deportivo Garcilaso vs Union Comercio Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
1-2
HT 1-0
Deportivo Garcilaso
PER
2-2
HT 0-0
Union Comercio
PER
Deportivo Garcilaso 3-1 Union Comercio — Actual Match Statistics
Deportivo Garcilaso beat Union Comercio 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.
As we said in the preview, our model had Deportivo Garcilaso as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Deportivo Garcilaso had 42% of the ball to Union Comercio's 58%, shots finished 19-6, expected goals 2.54 to 0.41.
Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Deportivo Garcilaso had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Deportivo Garcilaso and 1.00 for Union Comercio.
What was the final score of Deportivo Garcilaso vs Union Comercio?
Deportivo Garcilaso 3-1 Union Comercio in the Peru - Premier League on 21/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Deportivo Garcilaso vs Union Comercio?
Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Garcilaso win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Garcilaso 61%, draw 22%, Union Comercio 17%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportivo Garcilaso) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.