Union Comercio vs Deportivo Garcilaso Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Union Comercio v Deportivo Garcilaso — Team-Based Signals
Union Comercio vs Deportivo Garcilaso Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
1-2
HT 1-0
Deportivo Garcilaso
PER
2-2
HT 0-0
Union Comercio
PER
Union Comercio 0-4 Deportivo Garcilaso — Actual Match Statistics
Deportivo Garcilaso swept aside Union Comercio 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.
Our pre-match lean was Union Comercio at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, no to both teams scoring (57%) landed while under 2.5 goals (59%) missed.
On the day, Union Comercio had 58% of the ball to Deportivo Garcilaso's 42%, shots finished 18-14, expected goals 0.91 to 1.36.
Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Deportivo Garcilaso led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Union Comercio and 2.00 for Deportivo Garcilaso.
What was the final score of Union Comercio vs Deportivo Garcilaso?
Union Comercio 0-4 Deportivo Garcilaso in the Peru - Premier League on 15/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Union Comercio vs Deportivo Garcilaso?
Before kick-off our model rated a Union Comercio win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Union Comercio 46%, draw 28%, Deportivo Garcilaso 26%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Union Comercio), Under 2.5 went the other way.