Cultural San 0-1 Atletico Grau — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 15 Mar 2024

📅15/03/2024 · 🕒23:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.12
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
30%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.74
Over 2.5
42%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.81
No
58%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
17%
X/2
5%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
19%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
43%
-3.3pp
30%
Draw
27%
+3.4pp
30%
Away Win
30%
-0.1pp
58%
Under 2.5
54%
+4.0pp
42%
Over 2.5
46%
-4.0pp
42%
BTTS Yes
51%
-9.2pp
58%
BTTS No
49%
+9.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cultural San EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Grau EU Bookmakers 33%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -3%
0.67/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.48
+4% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -10%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
292 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 76%
22.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.5
23.5 Crosses 16.7
1.0 Yellow Cards 3.3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cultural San
0-1
AWAY Atletico Grau
2.29 xG 0.64
57% Ball Possession 43%
19 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 2
322 Passes 245
80% Pass Accuracy 71%
26 Box Touches 18
52 Crosses 7
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Cultural San vs Atletico Grau
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Grau edged past Cultural San 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (40% / 30% / 30%) promised a tight game; Atletico Grau found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Cultural San had 57% of the ball to Atletico Grau's 43%, shots finished 19-9, expected goals 2.29 to 0.64 — on chances, Cultural San could feel hard done by.

What was the final score of Cultural San vs Atletico Grau?

Cultural San 0-1 Atletico Grau in the Peru - Premier League on 15/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cultural San vs Atletico Grau?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cultural San win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Cultural San 40%, draw 30%, Atletico Grau 30%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Cultural San) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cultural San) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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