Carlos Manucci Trujillo 1-0 Sport Boys — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 15 Mar 2024

📅15/03/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.96
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
31%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.82
Over 2.5
50%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.75
No
52%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
47%
-4.3pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.7pp
31%
Away Win
26%
+5.0pp
50%
Under 2.5
51%
-0.9pp
50%
Over 2.5
49%
+0.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.7pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Carlos Manucci Trujillo EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Sport Boys EU Bookmakers 30%
+0% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +19% / +22%
1.39/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.06
-27% / +41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +56%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
292 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 242 · 72%
21.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.6
20.8 Crosses 17.3
2.6 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Carlos Manucci Trujillo
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Sport Boys
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.46 xG 1.72
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 8
208 Passes 259
71% Pass Accuracy 76%
20 Box Touches 21
18 Crosses 26
3 Yellow Cards 2
23.07.2023 Carlos Manucci Trujillo Carlos Manucci Trujillo 0-0 HT 0-0 Sport Boys Sport Boys PER
18.02.2023 Sport Boys Sport Boys 0-1 HT 0-1 Carlos Manucci Trujillo Carlos Manucci Trujillo PER
09.10.2022 Carlos Manucci Trujillo Carlos Manucci Trujillo 0-0 HT 0-0 Sport Boys Sport Boys PER
22.05.2022 Sport Boys Sport Boys 1-4 HT 0-2 Carlos Manucci Trujillo Carlos Manucci Trujillo PER
22.10.2021 Sport Boys Sport Boys 3-3 HT 1-2 Carlos Manucci Trujillo Carlos Manucci Trujillo PER
16.11.2020 Sport Boys Sport Boys 0-4 HT 0-2 Carlos Manucci Trujillo Carlos Manucci Trujillo PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Carlos Manucci Trujillo
1-0
AWAY Sport Boys
0.37 xG 0.76
43% Ball Possession 57%
7 Total Shots 20
2 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 9
177 Passes 254
65% Pass Accuracy 74%
10 Box Touches 26
12 Crosses 23
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Carlos Manucci Trujillo vs Sport Boys
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Carlos Manucci Trujillo squeezed past Sport Boys 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Carlos Manucci Trujillo as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Carlos Manucci Trujillo had 43% of the ball to Sport Boys's 57%, shots finished 7-20, expected goals 0.37 to 0.76.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Carlos Manucci Trujillo had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Carlos Manucci Trujillo and 0.67 for Sport Boys.

What was the final score of Carlos Manucci Trujillo vs Sport Boys?

Carlos Manucci Trujillo 1-0 Sport Boys in the Peru - Premier League on 15/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Carlos Manucci Trujillo vs Sport Boys?

Before kick-off our model rated a Carlos Manucci Trujillo win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Carlos Manucci Trujillo 42%, draw 26%, Sport Boys 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Carlos Manucci Trujillo), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Carlos Manucci Trujillo) ✓ BTTS No
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