Alianza Lima 3-0 Cienciano — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 21 Aug 2024

📅21/08/2024 · 🕒04:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.3
Draw
25%
4.81
Away
18%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.9
Over 2.5
47%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.51
No
57%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
6%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
6%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
73%
-16.4pp
26%
Draw
18%
+7.4pp
18%
Away Win
9%
+8.9pp
53%
Under 2.5
49%
+4.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
51%
-4.2pp
43%
BTTS Yes
36%
+7.5pp
57%
BTTS No
64%
-7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alianza Lima EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Cienciano EU Bookmakers 11%
+6% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +0%
1.85/0.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/1.66
+5% / +68% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -7%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
365 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 223 · 72%
26.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.6
20.7 Crosses 13.3
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alianza Lima
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Cienciano
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.09 xG 1.06
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
235 Passes 285
74% Pass Accuracy 79%
16 Box Touches 14
15 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
14.03.2024 Cienciano Cienciano 2-1 HT 1-0 Alianza Lima Alianza Lima PER
21.08.2023 Cienciano Cienciano 0-0 HT 0-0 Alianza Lima Alianza Lima PER
02.04.2023 Alianza Lima Alianza Lima 2-0 HT 0-0 Cienciano Cienciano PER
17.10.2022 Cienciano Cienciano 0-2 HT 0-0 Alianza Lima Alianza Lima PER
31.05.2022 Alianza Lima Alianza Lima 1-0 HT 0-0 Cienciano Cienciano PER
29.10.2021 Cienciano Cienciano 1-1 HT 1-0 Alianza Lima Alianza Lima PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alianza Lima
3-0
AWAY Cienciano
1.41 xG 0.30
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 0
4 Corners 2
356 Passes 266
83% Pass Accuracy 77%
24 Box Touches 11
19 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Alianza Lima vs Cienciano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alianza Lima swept aside Cienciano 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Alianza Lima as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Alianza Lima had 56% of the ball to Cienciano's 44%, shots finished 15-6, expected goals 1.41 to 0.30.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alianza Lima had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Alianza Lima and 0.50 for Cienciano.

What was the final score of Alianza Lima vs Cienciano?

Alianza Lima 3-0 Cienciano in the Peru - Premier League on 21/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alianza Lima vs Cienciano?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alianza Lima win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Alianza Lima 57%, draw 26%, Cienciano 18%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alianza Lima), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Alianza Lima) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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