Atletico Grau 1-1 Cultural San — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 21 Aug 2024

📅21/08/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.57
Draw
22%
3.8
Away
23%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.91
Over 2.5
50%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.9
No
52%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
10%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
60%
-4.3pp
22%
Draw
23%
-1.2pp
23%
Away Win
18%
+5.6pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.4pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Grau EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Cultural San EU Bookmakers 21%
-4% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
1.54/0.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/1.23
+1% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / +16%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
336 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 236 · 72%
30.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.5
26.5 Crosses 14.8
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Grau
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Cultural San
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
0.64 xG 2.29
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 19
3 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 4
245 Passes 322
71% Pass Accuracy 80%
18 Box Touches 26
7 Crosses 52
1 Yellow Cards 0
15.03.2024 Cultural San Cultural San 0-1 HT 0-1 Atletico Grau Atletico Grau PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Grau
1-1
AWAY Cultural San
1.70 xG 0.83
66% Ball Possession 34%
20 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
367 Passes 145
80% Pass Accuracy 63%
35 Box Touches 15
25 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Atletico Grau vs Cultural San
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Grau and Cultural San shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

This one beat our numbers. Atletico Grau carried 55% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Atletico Grau had 66% of the ball to Cultural San's 34%, shots finished 20-10, expected goals 1.70 to 0.83.

What was the final score of Atletico Grau vs Cultural San?

Atletico Grau 1-1 Cultural San in the Peru - Premier League on 21/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Grau vs Cultural San?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Grau win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Atletico Grau 55%, draw 22%, Cultural San 23%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Atletico Grau) ✗ BTTS No
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