Alianza Atletico 2-0 ADT — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 4 May 2025

📅04/05/2025 · 🕒23:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.05
Draw
32%
3.11
Away
30%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.78
Over 2.5
46%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.75
No
48%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
11%
X/2
13%
X/X
18%
2/1
4%
2/2
10%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
45%
-7.2pp
32%
Draw
29%
+3.2pp
30%
Away Win
26%
+3.9pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.9pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.5pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alianza Atletico EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY ADT EU Bookmakers 30%
+11% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / +9%
1.59/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.40
+29% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -10%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
308 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 76%
19.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.6
16.1 Crosses 16.9
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alianza Atletico
2W-2D-2L
AWAY ADT
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.84 xG 1.05
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
215 Passes 210
71% Pass Accuracy 71%
12 Box Touches 19
11 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
28.09.2024 ADT ADT 0-1 HT 0-0 Alianza Atletico Alianza Atletico PER
28.04.2024 Alianza Atletico Alianza Atletico 1-2 HT 0-1 ADT ADT PER
24.09.2023 ADT ADT 1-0 HT 1-0 Alianza Atletico Alianza Atletico PER
06.05.2023 Alianza Atletico Alianza Atletico 1-1 HT 1-0 ADT ADT PER
10.09.2022 Alianza Atletico Alianza Atletico 2-2 HT 2-1 ADT ADT PER
24.04.2022 ADT ADT 1-2 HT 0-1 Alianza Atletico Alianza Atletico PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alianza Atletico
2-0
AWAY ADT
0.69 xG 1.05
30% Ball Possession 70%
7 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 9
113 Passes 330
65% Pass Accuracy 83%
12 Box Touches 17
16 Crosses 28
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Alianza Atletico vs ADT
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alianza Atletico got the better of ADT 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (38% / 32% / 30%) promised a tight game; Alianza Atletico found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Alianza Atletico had 30% of the ball to ADT's 70%, shots finished 7-10, expected goals 0.69 to 1.05.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Alianza Atletico and 1.17 for ADT.

What was the final score of Alianza Atletico vs ADT?

Alianza Atletico 2-0 ADT in the Peru - Premier League on 04/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alianza Atletico vs ADT?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alianza Atletico win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Alianza Atletico 38%, draw 32%, ADT 30%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alianza Atletico), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Alianza Atletico) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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