LNZ Cherkasy 1-1 Zorya Luhansk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ukraine - Premier League, 4 May 2025

📅04/05/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
1.96
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
34%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
1.54
Over 2.5
32%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
32%
2.09
No
68%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
45%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
20%
X/2
16%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
47%
-7.4pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.6pp
34%
Away Win
25%
+8.9pp
68%
Under 2.5
61%
+7.3pp
32%
Over 2.5
39%
-7.3pp
32%
BTTS Yes
44%
-11.3pp
68%
BTTS No
56%
+11.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME LNZ Cherkasy EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Zorya Luhansk EU Bookmakers 29%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +24%
1.22/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/0.92
-4% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +34% / +32%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
362 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 3.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME LNZ Cherkasy
3W-0D-0L
AWAY Zorya Luhansk
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 2
04.11.2024 Zorya Luhansk Zorya Luhansk 1-2 HT 1-0 LNZ Cherkasy LNZ Cherkasy UKR
19.05.2024 LNZ Cherkasy LNZ Cherkasy 2-1 HT 0-1 Zorya Luhansk Zorya Luhansk UKR
12.11.2023 Zorya Luhansk Zorya Luhansk 1-2 HT 0-1 LNZ Cherkasy LNZ Cherkasy UKR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME LNZ Cherkasy
1-1
AWAY Zorya Luhansk
0 Total Shots 1
0 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 1
POST-MATCH LNZ Cherkasy vs Zorya Luhansk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

LNZ Cherkasy and Zorya Luhansk shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (39% / 27% / 34%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (68%) landed while no to both teams scoring (68%) missed.

On the day, shots finished 0-1.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, LNZ Cherkasy had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for LNZ Cherkasy and 1.00 for Zorya Luhansk.

What was the final score of LNZ Cherkasy vs Zorya Luhansk?

LNZ Cherkasy 1-1 Zorya Luhansk in the Ukraine - Premier League on 04/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for LNZ Cherkasy vs Zorya Luhansk?

Before kick-off our model rated a LNZ Cherkasy win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split LNZ Cherkasy 39%, draw 27%, Zorya Luhansk 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (LNZ Cherkasy), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (LNZ Cherkasy) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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