America de Cali 1-0 Deportivo Pereira — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 4 May 2026

📅04/05/2026 · 🕒01:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
66%
1.57
Draw
20%
3.8
Away
14%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.91
Over 2.5
50%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.9
No
54%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
21%
X/2
4%
X/X
10%
2/1
11%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
66%
Home Win
60%
+6.1pp
20%
Draw
23%
-2.9pp
14%
Away Win
18%
-3.2pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.8pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.8pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.6pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME America de Cali EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Pereira EU Bookmakers 21%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -17%
1.57/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.75/1.20
-3% / +36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +7%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
368 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 240 · 73%
24.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.5
17.5 Crosses 12.8
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME America de Cali
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Deportivo Pereira
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.23 xG 0.77
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
302 Passes 290
80% Pass Accuracy 78%
20 Box Touches 14
11 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 3
15.08.2025 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira 2-1 HT 1-0 America de Cali America de Cali KOL
02.03.2025 America de Cali America de Cali 2-0 HT 1-0 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira KOL
16.09.2024 America de Cali America de Cali 1-0 HT 1-0 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira KOL
03.03.2024 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira 2-0 HT 1-0 America de Cali America de Cali KOL
01.10.2023 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira 2-4 HT 2-2 America de Cali America de Cali KOL
25.04.2023 America de Cali America de Cali 2-1 HT 1-0 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME America de Cali
1-0
AWAY Deportivo Pereira
1.14 xG 0.44
43% Ball Possession 57%
15 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 0
7 Corners 1
315 Passes 446
85% Pass Accuracy 88%
16 Box Touches 7
15 Crosses 9
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH America de Cali vs Deportivo Pereira
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

America de Cali squeezed past Deportivo Pereira 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had America de Cali as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, America de Cali had 43% of the ball to Deportivo Pereira's 57%, shots finished 15-5, expected goals 1.14 to 0.44.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, America de Cali had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for America de Cali and 1.17 for Deportivo Pereira.

What was the final score of America de Cali vs Deportivo Pereira?

America de Cali 1-0 Deportivo Pereira in the Colombia - Primera on 04/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for America de Cali vs Deportivo Pereira?

Before kick-off our model rated a America de Cali win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split America de Cali 66%, draw 20%, Deportivo Pereira 14%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (America de Cali), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (America de Cali) ✓ BTTS No
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