Junior vs Deportivo Pasto Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Junior v Deportivo Pasto — Team-Based Signals
Junior vs Deportivo Pasto Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Junior
KOL
0-0
HT 0-0
Deportivo Pasto
KOL
1-0
HT 0-0
Junior
KOL
Junior 4-3 Deportivo Pasto — Actual Match Statistics
Junior edged past Deportivo Pasto 4-3. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Junior as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Junior had 46% of the ball to Deportivo Pasto's 54%, shots finished 9-10, expected goals 1.11 to 1.75 — on chances, Deportivo Pasto could feel hard done by.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Junior and 0.83 for Deportivo Pasto.
What was the final score of Junior vs Deportivo Pasto?
Junior 4-3 Deportivo Pasto in the Colombia - Primera on 04/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Junior vs Deportivo Pasto?
Before kick-off our model rated a Junior win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Junior 52%, draw 23%, Deportivo Pasto 25%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Junior) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.