Junior 2-0 Deportivo Pasto — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 29 Sep 2025

📅29/09/2025 · 🕒04:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
68%
1.28
Draw
18%
4.95
Away
14%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.03
Over 2.5
50%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.4
No
56%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
42%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
4%
X/X
6%
2/1
8%
2/2
6%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
68%
Home Win
74%
-5.9pp
18%
Draw
17%
+1.0pp
14%
Away Win
9%
+5.0pp
50%
Under 2.5
45%
+4.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
55%
-4.6pp
44%
BTTS Yes
38%
+6.4pp
56%
BTTS No
62%
-6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Junior EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Pasto EU Bookmakers 11%
+0% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -3%
1.61/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.71/1.24
+12% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +4%
61% Ball Possession 39%
17 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
430 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 246 · 76%
22.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.8
18.5 Crosses 12.6
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Junior
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Deportivo Pasto
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.04 xG 0.91
57% Ball Possession 43%
11 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
348 Passes 236
82% Pass Accuracy 75%
15 Box Touches 13
17 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 4
13.04.2025 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto 3-3 HT 3-1 Junior Junior KOL
29.08.2024 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto 1-0 HT 0-0 Junior Junior KOL
09.02.2024 Junior Junior 2-0 HT 1-0 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto KOL
13.08.2023 Junior Junior 0-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto KOL
19.02.2023 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto 1-0 HT 0-0 Junior Junior KOL
18.09.2022 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto 2-1 HT 1-1 Junior Junior KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Junior
2-0
AWAY Deportivo Pasto
2.28 xG 0.18
59% Ball Possession 41%
17 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
346 Passes 219
83% Pass Accuracy 73%
40 Box Touches 4
28 Crosses 7
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Junior vs Deportivo Pasto
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Junior saw off Deportivo Pasto 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Junior as the likeliest winner at 68%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Junior had 59% of the ball to Deportivo Pasto's 41%, shots finished 17-8, expected goals 2.28 to 0.18.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportivo Pasto led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Junior and 1.17 for Deportivo Pasto.

What was the final score of Junior vs Deportivo Pasto?

Junior 2-0 Deportivo Pasto in the Colombia - Primera on 29/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Junior vs Deportivo Pasto?

Before kick-off our model rated a Junior win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split Junior 68%, draw 18%, Deportivo Pasto 14%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Junior), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Junior) ✓ BTTS No
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