Aguilas Doradas 3-1 Deportivo Cali — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 29 Sep 2025

📅29/09/2025 · 🕒00:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.27
Draw
26%
2.83
Away
33%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.52
Over 2.5
44%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.99
No
52%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
11%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
40%
+1.0pp
26%
Draw
31%
-5.5pp
33%
Away Win
29%
+4.6pp
56%
Under 2.5
62%
-5.7pp
44%
Over 2.5
38%
+5.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
46%
+1.6pp
52%
BTTS No
54%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aguilas Doradas EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Cali EU Bookmakers 32%
-7% / -31% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / +0%
1.17/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.14
+7% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / -20%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
287 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 74%
15.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.8
17.8 Crosses 15.0
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aguilas Doradas
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Deportivo Cali
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.24 xG 0.94
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
292 Passes 289
77% Pass Accuracy 77%
21 Box Touches 16
16 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 4
12.04.2025 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali 0-0 HT 0-0 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas KOL
14.10.2024 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas 1-1 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali KOL
01.04.2024 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali 2-4 HT 1-3 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas KOL
07.12.2023 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas 3-1 HT 1-1 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali KOL
14.11.2023 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali 1-1 HT 0-0 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas KOL
12.08.2023 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas 1-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aguilas Doradas
3-1
AWAY Deportivo Cali
1.25 xG 1.43
39% Ball Possession 61%
17 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
166 Passes 279
72% Pass Accuracy 77%
17 Box Touches 13
10 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Aguilas Doradas vs Deportivo Cali
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aguilas Doradas beat Deportivo Cali 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Aguilas Doradas as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Aguilas Doradas had 39% of the ball to Deportivo Cali's 61%, shots finished 17-13, expected goals 1.25 to 1.43.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aguilas Doradas had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Aguilas Doradas and 0.83 for Deportivo Cali.

What was the final score of Aguilas Doradas vs Deportivo Cali?

Aguilas Doradas 3-1 Deportivo Cali in the Colombia - Primera on 29/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aguilas Doradas vs Deportivo Cali?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aguilas Doradas win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Aguilas Doradas 41%, draw 26%, Deportivo Cali 33%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aguilas Doradas) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Aguilas Doradas) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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