Santa Fe 3-0 La Equidad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 29 Sep 2025

📅29/09/2025 · 🕒02:20 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
64%
1.45
Draw
22%
3.94
Away
14%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.68
Over 2.5
46%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.29
No
55%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1/2
3%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
4%
X/X
11%
2/1
11%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
65%
-0.5pp
22%
Draw
22%
-0.5pp
14%
Away Win
13%
+0.8pp
54%
Under 2.5
56%
-1.7pp
46%
Over 2.5
44%
+1.7pp
45%
BTTS Yes
40%
+5.4pp
55%
BTTS No
60%
-5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Santa Fe EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY La Equidad EU Bookmakers 16%
+1% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -9%
1.38/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.76/1.30
+7% / +38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -9%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
355 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 229 · 72%
20.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.2
19.7 Crosses 11.6
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Santa Fe
2W-1D-3L
AWAY La Equidad
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.32 xG 0.81
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
255 Passes 202
71% Pass Accuracy 68%
18 Box Touches 14
17 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
11.04.2025 La Equidad La Equidad 2-1 HT 1-1 Santa Fe Santa Fe KOL
28.07.2024 Santa Fe Santa Fe 0-1 HT 0-1 La Equidad La Equidad KOL
27.05.2024 Santa Fe Santa Fe 2-0 HT 1-0 La Equidad La Equidad KOL
13.05.2024 La Equidad La Equidad 0-2 HT 0-0 Santa Fe Santa Fe KOL
31.01.2024 La Equidad La Equidad 1-0 HT 1-0 Santa Fe Santa Fe KOL
13.08.2023 Santa Fe Santa Fe 1-1 HT 1-0 La Equidad La Equidad KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Santa Fe
3-0
AWAY La Equidad
1.24 xG 0.34
66% Ball Possession 34%
20 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
445 Passes 195
89% Pass Accuracy 77%
24 Box Touches 13
28 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Santa Fe vs La Equidad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Santa Fe ran out comfortable winners over La Equidad 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Santa Fe as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Santa Fe had 66% of the ball to La Equidad's 34%, shots finished 20-6, expected goals 1.24 to 0.34.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, La Equidad led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Santa Fe and 0.83 for La Equidad.

What was the final score of Santa Fe vs La Equidad?

Santa Fe 3-0 La Equidad in the Colombia - Primera on 29/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Santa Fe vs La Equidad?

Before kick-off our model rated a Santa Fe win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Santa Fe 64%, draw 22%, La Equidad 14%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Santa Fe), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Santa Fe) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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