La Equidad 0-2 Santa Fe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 13 May 2024

📅13/05/2024 · 🕒01:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.53
Draw
32%
2.88
Away
34%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.51
Over 2.5
39%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.03
No
61%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
13%
X/X
20%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
36%
-1.6pp
32%
Draw
31%
+0.5pp
34%
Away Win
33%
+1.1pp
61%
Under 2.5
62%
-1.5pp
39%
Over 2.5
38%
+1.5pp
39%
BTTS Yes
45%
-6.2pp
61%
BTTS No
55%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME La Equidad EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Santa Fe EU Bookmakers 37%
-1% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +2%
1.05/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.10
-19% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -6%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
283 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 78%
16.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.0
17.1 Crosses 17.2
3.1 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME La Equidad
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Santa Fe
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.99 xG 1.41
44% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
214 Passes 301
72% Pass Accuracy 78%
15 Box Touches 12
15 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 3
31.01.2024 La Equidad La Equidad 1-0 HT 1-0 Santa Fe Santa Fe KOL
13.08.2023 Santa Fe Santa Fe 1-1 HT 1-0 La Equidad La Equidad KOL
20.02.2023 La Equidad La Equidad 0-1 HT 0-1 Santa Fe Santa Fe KOL
10.07.2022 La Equidad La Equidad 2-2 HT 0-0 Santa Fe Santa Fe KOL
22.01.2022 Santa Fe Santa Fe 1-1 HT 0-1 La Equidad La Equidad KOL
17.08.2021 Santa Fe Santa Fe 0-2 HT 0-1 La Equidad La Equidad KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME La Equidad
0-2
AWAY Santa Fe
0.35 xG 0.94
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
222 Passes 161
67% Pass Accuracy 59%
6 Box Touches 13
13 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH La Equidad vs Santa Fe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Santa Fe saw off La Equidad 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (34% / 32% / 34%) promised a tight game; Santa Fe found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (61%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, La Equidad had 55% of the ball to Santa Fe's 45%, shots finished 11-16, expected goals 0.35 to 0.94.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, La Equidad had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for La Equidad and 0.83 for Santa Fe.

What was the final score of La Equidad vs Santa Fe?

La Equidad 0-2 Santa Fe in the Colombia - Primera on 13/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for La Equidad vs Santa Fe?

Before kick-off our model rated a La Equidad win the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split La Equidad 34%, draw 32%, Santa Fe 34%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (34/32/34) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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