Deportes Tolima vs Once Caldas Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Deportes Tolima v Once Caldas — Team-Based Signals
Deportes Tolima vs Once Caldas Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-1
HT 2-1
Once Caldas
KOL
1-1
HT 1-1
Deportes Tolima
KOL
1-0
HT 0-0
Once Caldas
KOL
2-2
HT 0-2
Deportes Tolima
KOL
0-2
HT 0-1
Deportes Tolima
KOL
Deportes Tolima 1-1 Once Caldas — Actual Match Statistics
Deportes Tolima and Once Caldas shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match lean was Deportes Tolima at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (63%) landed while no to both teams scoring (61%) missed.
On the day, Deportes Tolima had 55% of the ball to Once Caldas's 45%, shots finished 14-9, expected goals 1.54 to 1.19.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportes Tolima had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Deportes Tolima and 1.00 for Once Caldas.
What was the final score of Deportes Tolima vs Once Caldas?
Deportes Tolima 1-1 Once Caldas in the Colombia - Primera on 13/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Deportes Tolima vs Once Caldas?
Before kick-off our model rated a Deportes Tolima win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Deportes Tolima 46%, draw 30%, Once Caldas 24%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Deportes Tolima), BTTS No went the other way.