Santa Fe 2-0 La Equidad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 27 May 2024

📅27/05/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.61
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
24%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.62
Over 2.5
42%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.16
No
60%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
19%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
58%
-7.4pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.1pp
24%
Away Win
16%
+7.4pp
58%
Under 2.5
58%
+0.5pp
42%
Over 2.5
42%
-0.5pp
40%
BTTS Yes
42%
-1.9pp
60%
BTTS No
58%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Santa Fe EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY La Equidad EU Bookmakers 20%
-4% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
1.33/0.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.30
+4% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +23%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
344 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 241 · 73%
20.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.5
20.1 Crosses 12.2
2.1 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Santa Fe
2W-3D-1L
AWAY La Equidad
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.42 xG 0.66
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
269 Passes 225
74% Pass Accuracy 72%
12 Box Touches 13
13 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 3
13.05.2024 La Equidad La Equidad 0-2 HT 0-0 Santa Fe Santa Fe KOL
31.01.2024 La Equidad La Equidad 1-0 HT 1-0 Santa Fe Santa Fe KOL
13.08.2023 Santa Fe Santa Fe 1-1 HT 1-0 La Equidad La Equidad KOL
20.02.2023 La Equidad La Equidad 0-1 HT 0-1 Santa Fe Santa Fe KOL
10.07.2022 La Equidad La Equidad 2-2 HT 0-0 Santa Fe Santa Fe KOL
22.01.2022 Santa Fe Santa Fe 1-1 HT 0-1 La Equidad La Equidad KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Santa Fe
2-0
AWAY La Equidad
0.47 xG 1.50
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 6
171 Passes 248
68% Pass Accuracy 73%
13 Box Touches 14
11 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Santa Fe vs La Equidad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Santa Fe saw off La Equidad 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Santa Fe as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (60%) came in.

On the day, Santa Fe had 42% of the ball to La Equidad's 58%, shots finished 11-14, expected goals 0.47 to 1.50 — the balance of chances actually favoured La Equidad.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Santa Fe had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Santa Fe and 0.83 for La Equidad.

What was the final score of Santa Fe vs La Equidad?

Santa Fe 2-0 La Equidad in the Colombia - Primera on 27/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Santa Fe vs La Equidad?

Before kick-off our model rated a Santa Fe win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Santa Fe 51%, draw 26%, La Equidad 24%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Santa Fe), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Santa Fe) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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