Once Caldas vs Deportes Tolima Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Once Caldas v Deportes Tolima — Team-Based Signals
Once Caldas vs Deportes Tolima Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-1
HT 2-1
Once Caldas
KOL
1-1
HT 1-1
Deportes Tolima
KOL
1-0
HT 0-0
Once Caldas
KOL
2-2
HT 0-2
Deportes Tolima
KOL
Once Caldas 0-1 Deportes Tolima — Actual Match Statistics
Deportes Tolima edged past Once Caldas 1-0 away from home.
Our pre-match split (34% / 29% / 37%) promised a tight game; Deportes Tolima found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Once Caldas had 52% of the ball to Deportes Tolima's 48%, shots finished 11-8, expected goals 0.73 to 0.45.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportes Tolima led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Once Caldas and 1.50 for Deportes Tolima.
What was the final score of Once Caldas vs Deportes Tolima?
Once Caldas 0-1 Deportes Tolima in the Colombia - Primera on 27/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Once Caldas vs Deportes Tolima?
Before kick-off our model rated an Deportes Tolima win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Once Caldas 34%, draw 29%, Deportes Tolima 37%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportes Tolima), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.