La Equidad 2-1 Santa Fe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 11 Apr 2025

📅11/04/2025 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.29
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
41%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.52
Over 2.5
36%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.06
No
60%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
14%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
23%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
27%
+2.7pp
29%
Draw
29%
-0.7pp
42%
Away Win
44%
-2.0pp
64%
Under 2.5
62%
+2.0pp
36%
Over 2.5
38%
-2.1pp
40%
BTTS Yes
44%
-4.5pp
60%
BTTS No
56%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME La Equidad EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Santa Fe EU Bookmakers 48%
-4% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +4%
0.68/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/0.98
-16% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +48% / +0%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
282 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 77%
9.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.8
11.9 Crosses 16.4
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME La Equidad
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Santa Fe
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.80 xG 1.25
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
215 Passes 245
70% Pass Accuracy 71%
14 Box Touches 15
17 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 3
28.07.2024 Santa Fe Santa Fe 0-1 HT 0-1 La Equidad La Equidad KOL
27.05.2024 Santa Fe Santa Fe 2-0 HT 1-0 La Equidad La Equidad KOL
13.05.2024 La Equidad La Equidad 0-2 HT 0-0 Santa Fe Santa Fe KOL
31.01.2024 La Equidad La Equidad 1-0 HT 1-0 Santa Fe Santa Fe KOL
13.08.2023 Santa Fe Santa Fe 1-1 HT 1-0 La Equidad La Equidad KOL
20.02.2023 La Equidad La Equidad 0-1 HT 0-1 Santa Fe Santa Fe KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME La Equidad
2-1
AWAY Santa Fe
0.56 xG 1.54
42% Ball Possession 58%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 7
209 Passes 319
73% Pass Accuracy 78%
13 Box Touches 22
15 Crosses 16
6 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH La Equidad vs Santa Fe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

La Equidad edged past Santa Fe 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Santa Fe at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, La Equidad had 42% of the ball to Santa Fe's 58%, shots finished 14-13, expected goals 0.56 to 1.54 — on chances, Santa Fe could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Santa Fe led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for La Equidad and 1.00 for Santa Fe.

What was the final score of La Equidad vs Santa Fe?

La Equidad 2-1 Santa Fe in the Colombia - Primera on 11/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for La Equidad vs Santa Fe?

Before kick-off our model rated an Santa Fe win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split La Equidad 30%, draw 29%, Santa Fe 42%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Santa Fe) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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