Santa Fe 0-1 La Equidad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 28 Jul 2024

📅28/07/2024 · 🕒02:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.86
Draw
31%
3.11
Away
28%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.44
Over 2.5
39%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.44
No
56%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
50%
-8.6pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.6pp
28%
Away Win
21%
+7.0pp
61%
Under 2.5
66%
-4.7pp
39%
Over 2.5
34%
+4.7pp
44%
BTTS Yes
37%
+6.9pp
56%
BTTS No
63%
-6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Santa Fe EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY La Equidad EU Bookmakers 24%
+10% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +4%
1.14/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.22
+1% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +4%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
329 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 243 · 72%
18.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.8
20.3 Crosses 12.1
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Santa Fe
3W-2D-1L
AWAY La Equidad
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.20 xG 0.86
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
249 Passes 241
73% Pass Accuracy 72%
11 Box Touches 14
12 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 2
27.05.2024 Santa Fe Santa Fe 2-0 HT 1-0 La Equidad La Equidad KOL
13.05.2024 La Equidad La Equidad 0-2 HT 0-0 Santa Fe Santa Fe KOL
31.01.2024 La Equidad La Equidad 1-0 HT 1-0 Santa Fe Santa Fe KOL
13.08.2023 Santa Fe Santa Fe 1-1 HT 1-0 La Equidad La Equidad KOL
20.02.2023 La Equidad La Equidad 0-1 HT 0-1 Santa Fe Santa Fe KOL
10.07.2022 La Equidad La Equidad 2-2 HT 0-0 Santa Fe Santa Fe KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Santa Fe
0-1
AWAY La Equidad
1.72 xG 0.94
64% Ball Possession 36%
19 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 6
300 Passes 140
74% Pass Accuracy 61%
29 Box Touches 19
31 Crosses 17
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Santa Fe vs La Equidad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

La Equidad squeezed past Santa Fe 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Santa Fe at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Santa Fe had 64% of the ball to La Equidad's 36%, shots finished 19-10, expected goals 1.72 to 0.94 — the balance of chances actually favoured Santa Fe.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Santa Fe had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Santa Fe and 0.67 for La Equidad.

What was the final score of Santa Fe vs La Equidad?

Santa Fe 0-1 La Equidad in the Colombia - Primera on 28/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Santa Fe vs La Equidad?

Before kick-off our model rated a Santa Fe win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Santa Fe 41%, draw 30%, La Equidad 28%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Santa Fe) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Santa Fe) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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