Independiente Medellin 0-0 Junior — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 28 Jul 2024

📅28/07/2024 · 🕒04:20 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.12
Draw
32%
3.11
Away
28%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.56
Over 2.5
34%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.03
No
59%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
17%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
43%
-3.7pp
32%
Draw
29%
+3.6pp
28%
Away Win
28%
+0.0pp
66%
Under 2.5
60%
+5.3pp
34%
Over 2.5
40%
-5.3pp
41%
BTTS Yes
45%
-4.4pp
59%
BTTS No
55%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Independiente Medellin EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Junior EU Bookmakers 32%
+3% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -15%
1.15/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/1.05
+0% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / -9%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
265 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 79%
19.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.3
17.3 Crosses 14.3
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Independiente Medellin
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Junior
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.84 xG 0.98
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
319 Passes 262
80% Pass Accuracy 75%
18 Box Touches 15
16 Crosses 13
4 Yellow Cards 3
02.02.2024 Junior Junior 3-0 HT 1-0 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin KOL
14.12.2023 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin 2-1 HT 1-0 Junior Junior KOL
11.12.2023 Junior Junior 3-2 HT 2-1 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin KOL
24.07.2023 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin 1-0 HT 0-0 Junior Junior KOL
30.01.2023 Junior Junior 1-1 HT 0-0 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin KOL
14.08.2022 Junior Junior 4-2 HT 2-0 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Independiente Medellin
0-0
AWAY Junior
0.56 xG 0.93
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 3
294 Passes 295
78% Pass Accuracy 79%
13 Box Touches 14
12 Crosses 17
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Independiente Medellin vs Junior
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Independiente Medellin and Junior played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 32% / 28% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.

On the day, Independiente Medellin had 50% of the ball to Junior's 50%, shots finished 14-6, expected goals 0.56 to 0.93.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Junior led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Independiente Medellin and 2.00 for Junior.

What was the final score of Independiente Medellin vs Junior?

Independiente Medellin 0-0 Junior in the Colombia - Primera on 28/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Independiente Medellin vs Junior?

Before kick-off our model rated a Independiente Medellin win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Independiente Medellin 40%, draw 32%, Junior 28%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Independiente Medellin) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Independiente Medellin) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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