Porto II 1-0 Felgueiras 1932 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 4 May 2026

📅04/05/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
3.17
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
38%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.62
Over 2.5
42%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.95
No
49%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.42
2-3 Goals
40%
1.7
4-5 Goals
18%
4.33
6+ Goals
8%
23.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
10%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
11%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
28%
+6.1pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.8pp
38%
Away Win
43%
-5.4pp
58%
Under 2.5
58%
-0.2pp
42%
Over 2.5
42%
+0.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
47%
+3.3pp
49%
BTTS No
53%
-3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Porto II EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Felgueiras 1932 EU Bookmakers 48%
+0% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -37% / -37%
1.11/1.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.05
+14% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -49% / -33%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
237 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 256 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
15.3 Crosses 11.8
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Porto II
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Felgueiras 1932
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.86 xG 2.25
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 9
240 Passes 125
72% Pass Accuracy 77%
14 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.12.2025 Felgueiras 1932 Felgueiras 1932 2-0 HT 1-0 Porto II Porto II POR2
22.02.2025 Felgueiras 1932 Felgueiras 1932 1-0 HT 1-0 Porto II Porto II POR2
29.09.2024 Porto II Porto II 0-2 HT 0-0 Felgueiras 1932 Felgueiras 1932 POR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Porto II
1-0
AWAY Felgueiras 1932
0.21 xG 1.12
57% Ball Possession 43%
5 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 9
358 Passes 136
85% Pass Accuracy 77%
13 Crosses 21
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Porto II vs Felgueiras 1932
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Porto II edged past Felgueiras 1932 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 28% / 38% — and on the day Porto II made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, Porto II had 57% of the ball to Felgueiras 1932's 43%, shots finished 5-8, expected goals 0.21 to 1.12 — the balance of chances actually favoured Felgueiras 1932.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Felgueiras 1932 led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Porto II and 1.67 for Felgueiras 1932.

What was the final score of Porto II vs Felgueiras 1932?

Porto II 1-0 Felgueiras 1932 in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 04/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Porto II vs Felgueiras 1932?

Before kick-off our model rated an Felgueiras 1932 win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Porto II 34%, draw 28%, Felgueiras 1932 38%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Felgueiras 1932), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Felgueiras 1932) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
POR2 More Portugal - 2nd Division
4 May 2026
20:00 Torreense vs Penafiel Analysis →