Porto II 0-2 Felgueiras 1932 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 29 Sep 2024

📅29/09/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.67
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
39%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.86
Over 2.5
46%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.66
No
52%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.4
2-3 Goals
43%
1.79
4-5 Goals
20%
3.49
6+ Goals
9%
13.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.4 — our 28% vs market 24.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
17%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
33%
+0.7pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.1pp
39%
Away Win
38%
+0.4pp
54%
Under 2.5
50%
+4.4pp
46%
Over 2.5
50%
-4.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
56%
-7.7pp
52%
BTTS No
44%
+7.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Porto II EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Felgueiras 1932 EU Bookmakers 43%
+2% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
1.40/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.25
+14% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / +12%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
318 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
17.8 Crosses 16.0
2.6 Yellow Cards 0.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Porto II
0-2
AWAY Felgueiras 1932
0.85 xG 3.95
40% Ball Possession 60%
14 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 10
206 Passes 129
71% Pass Accuracy 84%
12 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Porto II vs Felgueiras 1932
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Felgueiras 1932 beat Porto II 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (34% / 27% / 39%) promised a tight game; Felgueiras 1932 found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Porto II had 40% of the ball to Felgueiras 1932's 60%, shots finished 14-5, expected goals 0.85 to 3.95.

What was the final score of Porto II vs Felgueiras 1932?

Porto II 0-2 Felgueiras 1932 in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Porto II vs Felgueiras 1932?

Before kick-off our model rated an Felgueiras 1932 win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Porto II 34%, draw 27%, Felgueiras 1932 39%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Felgueiras 1932), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Felgueiras 1932) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
POR2 More Portugal - 2nd Division
29 Sep 2024
13:00 UD Oliveirense vs CD Feirense Analysis →
16:00 Alverca vs Leixoes Analysis →
17:30 Uniao De Leiria vs Maritimo Analysis →