UD Oliveirense 1-0 CD Feirense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 29 Sep 2024

📅29/09/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.47
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
33%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.8
Over 2.5
48%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.73
No
49%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
28%
3.18
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
3.69
6+ Goals
10%
15.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.18 — our 28% vs market 25.9%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
37%
+1.5pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.5pp
33%
Away Win
36%
-2.9pp
52%
Under 2.5
52%
+0.6pp
48%
Over 2.5
48%
-0.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
54%
-2.8pp
49%
BTTS No
46%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME UD Oliveirense EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY CD Feirense EU Bookmakers 39%
+3% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / -3%
1.51/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/1.31
+27% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -13%
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
323 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
18.9 Crosses 19.1
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME UD Oliveirense
1W-2D-3L
AWAY CD Feirense
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.47 xG 1.47
49% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
281 Passes 331
75% Pass Accuracy 80%
20 Crosses 20
4 Yellow Cards 3
20.01.2024 CD Feirense CD Feirense 0-0 HT 0-0 UD Oliveirense UD Oliveirense POR2
15.08.2023 UD Oliveirense UD Oliveirense 3-1 HT 1-0 CD Feirense CD Feirense POR2
11.03.2023 UD Oliveirense UD Oliveirense 0-1 HT 0-0 CD Feirense CD Feirense POR2
26.11.2022 UD Oliveirense UD Oliveirense 0-0 HT 0-0 CD Feirense CD Feirense PORLC
19.09.2022 CD Feirense CD Feirense 3-2 HT 0-1 UD Oliveirense UD Oliveirense POR2
08.05.2021 CD Feirense CD Feirense 4-1 HT 2-1 UD Oliveirense UD Oliveirense POR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME UD Oliveirense
1-0
AWAY CD Feirense
0.83 xG 1.03
43% Ball Possession 57%
6 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 6
262 Passes 321
74% Pass Accuracy 79%
10 Crosses 29
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH UD Oliveirense vs CD Feirense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

UD Oliveirense squeezed past CD Feirense 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 29% / 33% — and on the day UD Oliveirense made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, UD Oliveirense had 43% of the ball to CD Feirense's 57%, shots finished 6-14, expected goals 0.83 to 1.03.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, CD Feirense led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for UD Oliveirense and 1.50 for CD Feirense.

What was the final score of UD Oliveirense vs CD Feirense?

UD Oliveirense 1-0 CD Feirense in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for UD Oliveirense vs CD Feirense?

Before kick-off our model rated a UD Oliveirense win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split UD Oliveirense 38%, draw 29%, CD Feirense 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (UD Oliveirense), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (UD Oliveirense) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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