Cerezo Osaka 4-1 Yokohama FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - League Cup, 4 Jun 2025

📅04/06/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.72
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
30%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.03
Over 2.5
49%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.7
No
46%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.8
2-3 Goals
43%
1.83
4-5 Goals
23%
3.12
6+ Goals
9%
10.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
2.2
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
4%
14.0
X/1
17%
4.38
X/2
11%
9.64
X/X
12%
5.52
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
22.0
2/2
13%
7.39
2/X
10%
15.5
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.0 — our 9% vs market 2.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
54%
-10.9pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.1pp
30%
Away Win
21%
+8.8pp
51%
Under 2.5
45%
+5.4pp
49%
Over 2.5
55%
-5.4pp
54%
BTTS Yes
55%
-0.6pp
46%
BTTS No
45%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cerezo Osaka EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Yokohama FC EU Bookmakers 24%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +18%
2.71/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.48/1.62
+41% / +37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +41% / +5%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
376 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cerezo Osaka
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Yokohama FC
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.47 xG 0.77
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
448 Passes 334
84% Pass Accuracy 79%
23 Box Touches 20
18 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 2
15.03.2025 Yokohama FC Yokohama FC 2-0 HT 1-0 Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka JAP
20.08.2023 Yokohama FC Yokohama FC 0-1 HT 0-0 Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka JAP
28.05.2023 Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka 2-0 HT 1-0 Yokohama FC Yokohama FC JAP
21.08.2021 Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka 3-1 HT 2-1 Yokohama FC Yokohama FC JAP
13.03.2021 Yokohama FC Yokohama FC 1-4 HT 0-1 Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka JAP
29.11.2020 Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka 1-0 HT 0-0 Yokohama FC Yokohama FC JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cerezo Osaka
4-1
AWAY Yokohama FC
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 18
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Cerezo Osaka vs Yokohama FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cerezo Osaka cruised past Yokohama FC 4-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Cerezo Osaka as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Cerezo Osaka had 59% of the ball to Yokohama FC's 41%, shots finished 14-18.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cerezo Osaka had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Cerezo Osaka and 0.67 for Yokohama FC.

What was the final score of Cerezo Osaka vs Yokohama FC?

Cerezo Osaka 4-1 Yokohama FC in the Japan - League Cup on 04/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cerezo Osaka vs Yokohama FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cerezo Osaka win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Cerezo Osaka 44%, draw 26%, Yokohama FC 30%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cerezo Osaka), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cerezo Osaka) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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