Avispa Fukuoka 1-0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - League Cup, 4 Jun 2025

📅04/06/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
3.75
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
47%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.56
Over 2.5
42%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.09
No
56%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.36
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
4.9
6+ Goals
8%
28.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
7.03
1/2
8%
30.0
1/X
5%
16.4
X/1
8%
8.0
X/2
14%
4.22
X/X
15%
4.01
2/1
6%
35.0
2/2
26%
2.68
2/X
8%
15.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
23%
+1.8pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.0pp
47%
Away Win
49%
-1.8pp
58%
Under 2.5
60%
-2.3pp
42%
Over 2.5
40%
+2.3pp
44%
BTTS Yes
44%
+0.1pp
56%
BTTS No
56%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Avispa Fukuoka EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Sanfrecce Hiroshima EU Bookmakers 53%
+37% / +39% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
1.59/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.68/0.74
+27% / +75% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +73%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
323 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Avispa Fukuoka
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.92 xG 1.11
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 6
264 Passes 316
69% Pass Accuracy 74%
13 Box Touches 24
11 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 1
03.05.2025 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2-1 HT 0-0 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka JAP
14.07.2024 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1-0 HT 0-0 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka JAP
13.04.2024 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka 1-1 HT 1-1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima JAP
03.12.2023 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka 0-1 HT 0-0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima JAP
07.05.2023 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3-1 HT 0-1 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka JAP
25.09.2022 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima 0-0 HT 0-0 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka JLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Avispa Fukuoka
1-0
AWAY Sanfrecce Hiroshima
41% Ball Possession 59%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Avispa Fukuoka vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Avispa Fukuoka squeezed past Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Sanfrecce Hiroshima at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Avispa Fukuoka had 41% of the ball to Sanfrecce Hiroshima's 59%, shots finished 13-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sanfrecce Hiroshima led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Avispa Fukuoka and 1.33 for Sanfrecce Hiroshima.

What was the final score of Avispa Fukuoka vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?

Avispa Fukuoka 1-0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima in the Japan - League Cup on 04/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Avispa Fukuoka vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sanfrecce Hiroshima win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Avispa Fukuoka 25%, draw 28%, Sanfrecce Hiroshima 47%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Sanfrecce Hiroshima) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sanfrecce Hiroshima) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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