Yokohama FC 2-0 Cerezo Osaka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 15 Mar 2025

📅15/03/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.46
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
36%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.56
Over 2.5
44%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.99
No
51%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.32
2-3 Goals
41%
1.75
4-5 Goals
19%
4.83
6+ Goals
9%
28.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
3.83
1/2
10%
34.5
1/X
10%
14.15
X/1
16%
5.19
X/2
15%
5.6
X/X
12%
3.83
2/1
6%
34.0
2/2
12%
4.29
2/X
6%
14.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
37%
-1.3pp
28%
Draw
30%
-1.8pp
36%
Away Win
33%
+3.0pp
56%
Under 2.5
60%
-4.5pp
44%
Over 2.5
40%
+4.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
46%
+2.5pp
51%
BTTS No
54%
-2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Yokohama FC EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Cerezo Osaka EU Bookmakers 37%
-1% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -8%
0.95/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.40
-6% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +7%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
342 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 377 · 77%
15.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
18.6 Crosses 19.0
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Yokohama FC
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Cerezo Osaka
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
0.74 xG 1.56
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
380 Passes 396
82% Pass Accuracy 83%
19 Box Touches 24
22 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 1
20.08.2023 Yokohama FC Yokohama FC 0-1 HT 0-0 Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka JAP
28.05.2023 Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka 2-0 HT 1-0 Yokohama FC Yokohama FC JAP
21.08.2021 Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka 3-1 HT 2-1 Yokohama FC Yokohama FC JAP
13.03.2021 Yokohama FC Yokohama FC 1-4 HT 0-1 Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka JAP
29.11.2020 Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka 1-0 HT 0-0 Yokohama FC Yokohama FC JAP
30.08.2020 Yokohama FC Yokohama FC 1-2 HT 0-1 Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Yokohama FC
2-0
AWAY Cerezo Osaka
0.98 xG 0.78
33% Ball Possession 67%
10 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
238 Passes 589
73% Pass Accuracy 86%
28 Box Touches 17
20 Crosses 10
POST-MATCH Yokohama FC vs Cerezo Osaka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Yokohama FC beat Cerezo Osaka 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (36% / 28% / 36%) promised a tight game; Yokohama FC found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Yokohama FC had 33% of the ball to Cerezo Osaka's 67%, shots finished 10-8, expected goals 0.98 to 0.78.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cerezo Osaka led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Yokohama FC and 2.17 for Cerezo Osaka.

What was the final score of Yokohama FC vs Cerezo Osaka?

Yokohama FC 2-0 Cerezo Osaka in the Japan - J1 League on 15/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Yokohama FC vs Cerezo Osaka?

Before kick-off our model rated a Yokohama FC win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Yokohama FC 36%, draw 28%, Cerezo Osaka 36%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (36/28/36) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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