Avispa Fukuoka 1-0 FC Tokyo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 15 Mar 2025

📅15/03/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.27
Draw
32%
2.83
Away
30%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.44
Over 2.5
38%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.19
No
56%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.0
2-3 Goals
39%
1.8
4-5 Goals
18%
6.06
6+ Goals
9%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.49
1/2
9%
34.5
1/X
6%
14.35
X/1
13%
4.77
X/2
9%
6.32
X/X
20%
3.33
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
13%
5.37
2/X
6%
15.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
40%
-2.6pp
32%
Draw
32%
+0.6pp
30%
Away Win
28%
+1.9pp
62%
Under 2.5
66%
-4.0pp
38%
Over 2.5
34%
+4.0pp
44%
BTTS Yes
42%
+2.0pp
56%
BTTS No
58%
-2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Avispa Fukuoka EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Tokyo EU Bookmakers 32%
-2% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +22%
1.05/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.14
-23% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +3%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
285 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 339 · 77%
20.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.8
21.8 Crosses 13.8
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Avispa Fukuoka
4W-0D-2L
AWAY FC Tokyo
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.13 xG 0.70
44% Ball Possession 56%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
235 Passes 424
70% Pass Accuracy 81%
22 Box Touches 14
16 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
30.06.2024 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo 0-1 HT 0-0 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka JAP
16.03.2024 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka 1-3 HT 0-2 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo JAP
10.09.2023 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka 2-0 HT 2-0 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo JLK
06.09.2023 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo 1-0 HT 1-0 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka JLK
03.09.2023 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo 1-2 HT 0-2 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka JAP
03.05.2023 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka 1-0 HT 0-0 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Avispa Fukuoka
1-0
AWAY FC Tokyo
1.55 xG 0.64
48% Ball Possession 52%
24 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 0
339 Passes 377
80% Pass Accuracy 79%
32 Box Touches 15
21 Crosses 10
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Avispa Fukuoka vs FC Tokyo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Avispa Fukuoka nicked a narrow win over FC Tokyo 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (38% / 32% / 30%) promised a tight game; Avispa Fukuoka found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Avispa Fukuoka had 48% of the ball to FC Tokyo's 52%, shots finished 24-6, expected goals 1.55 to 0.64.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Avispa Fukuoka had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Avispa Fukuoka and 0.83 for FC Tokyo.

What was the final score of Avispa Fukuoka vs FC Tokyo?

Avispa Fukuoka 1-0 FC Tokyo in the Japan - J1 League on 15/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Avispa Fukuoka vs FC Tokyo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Avispa Fukuoka win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Avispa Fukuoka 38%, draw 32%, FC Tokyo 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Avispa Fukuoka), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Avispa Fukuoka) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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