Machida Zelvia vs Albirex Niigata Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Machida Zelvia v Albirex Niigata — Team-Based Signals
Machida Zelvia vs Albirex Niigata Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-0
Albirex Niigata
JPK
2-1
HT 1-1
Machida Zelvia
JAP2
Machida Zelvia 1-0 Albirex Niigata — Actual Match Statistics
Machida Zelvia squeezed past Albirex Niigata 1-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Machida Zelvia as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (62%) came in.
On the day, Machida Zelvia had 44% of the ball to Albirex Niigata's 56%, shots finished 14-5, expected goals 2.08 to 0.52 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Machida Zelvia's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Albirex Niigata led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Machida Zelvia and 1.83 for Albirex Niigata.
What was the final score of Machida Zelvia vs Albirex Niigata?
Machida Zelvia 1-0 Albirex Niigata in the Japan - J1 League on 15/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Machida Zelvia vs Albirex Niigata?
Before kick-off our model rated a Machida Zelvia win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Machida Zelvia 46%, draw 24%, Albirex Niigata 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Machida Zelvia), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.