Albirex Niigata 0-0 Machida Zelvia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 25 Aug 2024

📅25/08/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.67
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
41%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.75
Over 2.5
52%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.76
No
44%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.0
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
24%
3.89
6+ Goals
12%
17.3
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.89 — our 24% vs market 20.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
4.2
1/2
12%
29.0
1/X
10%
12.9
X/1
12%
5.93
X/2
14%
5.23
X/X
13%
4.21
2/1
8%
32.5
2/2
15%
3.51
2/X
5%
12.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
34%
-3.1pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.1pp
41%
Away Win
38%
+3.2pp
48%
Under 2.5
53%
-5.0pp
52%
Over 2.5
47%
+5.0pp
56%
BTTS Yes
53%
+3.1pp
44%
BTTS No
47%
-3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Albirex Niigata EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Machida Zelvia EU Bookmakers 42%
-4% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +18%
1.08/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/0.80
-6% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +95%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
297 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 72%
22.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.6
20.0 Crosses 24.3
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Albirex Niigata
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Machida Zelvia
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.11 xG 2.24
59% Ball Possession 41%
9 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
316 Passes 307
80% Pass Accuracy 80%
19 Box Touches 40
7 Crosses 23
1 Yellow Cards 1
01.06.2024 Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia 1-3 HT 1-2 Albirex Niigata Albirex Niigata JAP
02.08.2023 Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia 0-1 HT 0-0 Albirex Niigata Albirex Niigata JPK
23.10.2022 Albirex Niigata Albirex Niigata 2-1 HT 1-1 Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia JAP2
15.05.2022 Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia 2-1 HT 1-0 Albirex Niigata Albirex Niigata JAP2
05.12.2021 Albirex Niigata Albirex Niigata 0-2 HT 0-1 Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia JAP2
16.05.2021 Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia 2-1 HT 2-0 Albirex Niigata Albirex Niigata JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Albirex Niigata
0-0
AWAY Machida Zelvia
0.25 xG 0.40
66% Ball Possession 34%
9 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 4
476 Passes 189
87% Pass Accuracy 69%
9 Box Touches 20
12 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Albirex Niigata vs Machida Zelvia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Albirex Niigata and Machida Zelvia played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Machida Zelvia at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Albirex Niigata had 66% of the ball to Machida Zelvia's 34%, shots finished 9-7, expected goals 0.25 to 0.40.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Albirex Niigata and 1.33 for Machida Zelvia.

What was the final score of Albirex Niigata vs Machida Zelvia?

Albirex Niigata 0-0 Machida Zelvia in the Japan - J1 League on 25/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Albirex Niigata vs Machida Zelvia?

Before kick-off our model rated an Machida Zelvia win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Albirex Niigata 31%, draw 28%, Machida Zelvia 41%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Machida Zelvia) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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