Jubilo Iwata 0-2 Consadole Sapporo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 25 Aug 2024

📅25/08/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.38
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
32%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.97
Over 2.5
52%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.63
No
48%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.65
2-3 Goals
38%
1.81
4-5 Goals
25%
3.31
6+ Goals
11%
11.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.52
1/2
6%
28.5
1/X
8%
12.4
X/1
12%
5.54
X/2
16%
5.9
X/X
13%
4.67
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
27.0
2/2
11%
3.84
2/X
6%
12.45
Value flag · 2/1 at 27.0 — our 9% vs market 1.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
38%
+2.9pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.3pp
32%
Away Win
35%
-2.5pp
48%
Under 2.5
47%
+1.3pp
52%
Over 2.5
53%
-1.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
57%
-5.0pp
48%
BTTS No
43%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jubilo Iwata EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Consadole Sapporo EU Bookmakers 38%
-6% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -18%
1.21/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/1.39
-12% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -30%
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
324 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 393 · 80%
23.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.8
22.5 Crosses 17.5
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jubilo Iwata
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Consadole Sapporo
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
0.93 xG 1.64
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
287 Passes 437
74% Pass Accuracy 81%
13 Box Touches 31
15 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 2
15.05.2024 Consadole Sapporo Consadole Sapporo 1-0 HT 1-0 Jubilo Iwata Jubilo Iwata JAP
18.06.2023 Consadole Sapporo Consadole Sapporo 2-3 HT 1-0 Jubilo Iwata Jubilo Iwata JLK
25.03.2023 Jubilo Iwata Jubilo Iwata 2-3 HT 0-0 Consadole Sapporo Consadole Sapporo JLK
11.09.2022 Consadole Sapporo Consadole Sapporo 4-0 HT 2-0 Jubilo Iwata Jubilo Iwata JAP
22.05.2022 Jubilo Iwata Jubilo Iwata 1-2 HT 1-1 Consadole Sapporo Consadole Sapporo JAP
23.11.2019 Consadole Sapporo Consadole Sapporo 1-2 HT 0-1 Jubilo Iwata Jubilo Iwata JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jubilo Iwata
0-2
AWAY Consadole Sapporo
1.07 xG 1.47
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 5
231 Passes 295
73% Pass Accuracy 75%
20 Box Touches 21
28 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Jubilo Iwata vs Consadole Sapporo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Consadole Sapporo got the better of Jubilo Iwata 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Jubilo Iwata at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Jubilo Iwata had 46% of the ball to Consadole Sapporo's 54%, shots finished 11-5, expected goals 1.07 to 1.47.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Consadole Sapporo led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Jubilo Iwata and 2.17 for Consadole Sapporo.

What was the final score of Jubilo Iwata vs Consadole Sapporo?

Jubilo Iwata 0-2 Consadole Sapporo in the Japan - J1 League on 25/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jubilo Iwata vs Consadole Sapporo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Jubilo Iwata win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Jubilo Iwata 41%, draw 27%, Consadole Sapporo 32%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Jubilo Iwata) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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