Tokyo Verdy 2-1 Kashima Antlers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 25 Aug 2024

📅25/08/2024 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.67
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
36%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.68
Over 2.5
53%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.82
No
47%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2.79
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
23%
4.19
6+ Goals
11%
20.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
4.23
1/2
10%
31.0
1/X
8%
13.1
X/1
13%
5.83
X/2
12%
5.21
X/X
11%
4.03
2/1 EV+ ✗
11%
34.0
2/2
14%
3.6
2/X
8%
13.0
Value flag · 2/1 at 34.0 — our 11% vs market 1.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
34%
+3.4pp
27%
Draw
29%
-2.3pp
36%
Away Win
37%
-1.1pp
47%
Under 2.5
56%
-8.6pp
53%
Over 2.5
44%
+8.5pp
53%
BTTS Yes
51%
+2.5pp
47%
BTTS No
49%
-2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tokyo Verdy EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Kashima Antlers EU Bookmakers 40%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / -2%
1.61/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/0.99
+39% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / +26%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
354 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 77%
20.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.2
18.0 Crosses 17.7
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tokyo Verdy
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Kashima Antlers
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
2.17 xG 1.54
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
302 Passes 246
80% Pass Accuracy 71%
18 Box Touches 14
17 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
12.05.2024 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers 3-3 HT 2-0 Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tokyo Verdy
2-1
AWAY Kashima Antlers
1.76 xG 2.00
35% Ball Possession 65%
14 Total Shots 19
7 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 6
149 Passes 340
71% Pass Accuracy 83%
24 Box Touches 30
17 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Tokyo Verdy vs Kashima Antlers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tokyo Verdy nicked a narrow win over Kashima Antlers 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (38% / 27% / 36%) promised a tight game; Tokyo Verdy found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Tokyo Verdy had 35% of the ball to Kashima Antlers's 65%, shots finished 14-19, expected goals 1.76 to 2.00.

What was the final score of Tokyo Verdy vs Kashima Antlers?

Tokyo Verdy 2-1 Kashima Antlers in the Japan - J1 League on 25/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tokyo Verdy vs Kashima Antlers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tokyo Verdy win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Tokyo Verdy 38%, draw 27%, Kashima Antlers 36%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tokyo Verdy), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Tokyo Verdy) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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