Vissel Kobe 2-0 Sagan Tosu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 25 Aug 2024

📅25/08/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.34
Draw
21%
4.62
Away
17%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.23
Over 2.5
59%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.9
No
51%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.55
2-3 Goals
36%
1.9
4-5 Goals
32%
2.89
6+ Goals
11%
8.28
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1.58
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
5%
20.55
X/1
19%
3.51
X/2
6%
17.15
X/X
9%
7.25
2/1
6%
22.3
2/2
5%
13.4
2/X
7%
21.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
70%
-8.3pp
21%
Draw
18%
+2.8pp
17%
Away Win
12%
+5.5pp
41%
Under 2.5
41%
+0.3pp
59%
Over 2.5
59%
-0.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.2pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vissel Kobe EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Sagan Tosu EU Bookmakers 15%
-11% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +3%
2.01/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/1.81
+19% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / +11%
57% Ball Possession 43%
18 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
480 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 353 · 79%
28.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.2
25.7 Crosses 15.3
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vissel Kobe
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Sagan Tosu
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.17
1.33 xG 0.87
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
354 Passes 386
79% Pass Accuracy 79%
18 Box Touches 13
23 Crosses 17
0 Yellow Cards 1
03.04.2024 Sagan Tosu Sagan Tosu 0-0 HT 0-0 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe JAP
16.07.2023 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe 2-1 HT 0-0 Sagan Tosu Sagan Tosu JAP
18.03.2023 Sagan Tosu Sagan Tosu 0-1 HT 0-1 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe JAP
02.07.2022 Sagan Tosu Sagan Tosu 0-2 HT 0-0 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe JAP
14.05.2022 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe 4-0 HT 2-0 Sagan Tosu Sagan Tosu JAP
04.12.2021 Sagan Tosu Sagan Tosu 0-2 HT 0-0 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vissel Kobe
2-0
AWAY Sagan Tosu
2.47 xG 0.50
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 0
8 Corners 1
401 Passes 279
82% Pass Accuracy 74%
30 Box Touches 9
24 Crosses 16
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Vissel Kobe vs Sagan Tosu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vissel Kobe saw off Sagan Tosu 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Vissel Kobe as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Vissel Kobe had 56% of the ball to Sagan Tosu's 44%, shots finished 15-7, expected goals 2.47 to 0.50.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Vissel Kobe had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Vissel Kobe and 0.17 for Sagan Tosu.

What was the final score of Vissel Kobe vs Sagan Tosu?

Vissel Kobe 2-0 Sagan Tosu in the Japan - J1 League on 25/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vissel Kobe vs Sagan Tosu?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vissel Kobe win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Vissel Kobe 62%, draw 21%, Sagan Tosu 17%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vissel Kobe), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Vissel Kobe) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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