Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2-0 Kashiwa Reysol — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 25 Aug 2024

📅25/08/2024 · 🕒12:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.66
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
29%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.95
Over 2.5
50%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.76
No
50%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.6
2-3 Goals
38%
1.81
4-5 Goals
23%
3.34
6+ Goals
10%
12.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.6 — our 29% vs market 22.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
2.14
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
9%
14.15
X/1
20%
4.04
X/2
13%
10.1
X/X
9%
5.06
2/1
7%
23.6
2/2
9%
7.74
2/X
7%
15.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
56%
-10.1pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.2pp
30%
Away Win
20%
+9.8pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.8pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.7pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sanfrecce Hiroshima EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Kashiwa Reysol EU Bookmakers 23%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / -2%
1.47/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.20
-8% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +5%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
459 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 78%
28.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.9
24.7 Crosses 15.2
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sanfrecce Hiroshima
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Kashiwa Reysol
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.87 xG 0.96
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
345 Passes 278
75% Pass Accuracy 72%
20 Box Touches 19
22 Crosses 16
0 Yellow Cards 2
22.06.2024 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol 0-1 HT 0-1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima JAP
26.08.2023 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol 0-0 HT 0-0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima JAP
19.03.2023 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1-0 HT 0-0 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol JAP
14.08.2022 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol 2-3 HT 1-1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima JAP
03.05.2022 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1-2 HT 1-0 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol JAP
18.09.2021 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol 0-3 HT 0-1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2-0
AWAY Kashiwa Reysol
1.57 xG 0.93
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 3
386 Passes 266
81% Pass Accuracy 75%
23 Box Touches 19
24 Crosses 16
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Kashiwa Reysol
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sanfrecce Hiroshima saw off Kashiwa Reysol 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Sanfrecce Hiroshima as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Sanfrecce Hiroshima had 57% of the ball to Kashiwa Reysol's 43%, shots finished 17-10, expected goals 1.57 to 0.93.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sanfrecce Hiroshima had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Sanfrecce Hiroshima and 0.67 for Kashiwa Reysol.

What was the final score of Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Kashiwa Reysol?

Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2-0 Kashiwa Reysol in the Japan - J1 League on 25/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Kashiwa Reysol?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Sanfrecce Hiroshima 46%, draw 25%, Kashiwa Reysol 30%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sanfrecce Hiroshima) — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sanfrecce Hiroshima)
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