Albirex Niigata 5-0 Machida Zelvia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - League Cup, 4 Sep 2024

📅04/09/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.53
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
35%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.6
Over 2.5
51%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.9
No
47%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.54
2-3 Goals
43%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.66
6+ Goals
10%
25.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
17%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
36%
+2.2pp
27%
Draw
30%
-2.5pp
35%
Away Win
35%
+0.3pp
49%
Under 2.5
59%
-9.4pp
51%
Over 2.5
41%
+9.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
49%
+4.1pp
47%
BTTS No
51%
-4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Albirex Niigata EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Machida Zelvia EU Bookmakers 38%
+1% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +42% / +42%
1.39/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.00/1.00
+11% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +137% / +26%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
401 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Albirex Niigata
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Machida Zelvia
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.68 xG 1.32
59% Ball Possession 41%
9 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
396 Passes 248
84% Pass Accuracy 74%
14 Box Touches 30
10 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 1
25.08.2024 Albirex Niigata Albirex Niigata 0-0 HT 0-0 Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia JAP
01.06.2024 Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia 1-3 HT 1-2 Albirex Niigata Albirex Niigata JAP
02.08.2023 Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia 0-1 HT 0-0 Albirex Niigata Albirex Niigata JPK
23.10.2022 Albirex Niigata Albirex Niigata 2-1 HT 1-1 Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia JAP2
15.05.2022 Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia 2-1 HT 1-0 Albirex Niigata Albirex Niigata JAP2
05.12.2021 Albirex Niigata Albirex Niigata 0-2 HT 0-1 Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Albirex Niigata
5-0
AWAY Machida Zelvia
58% Ball Possession 42%
20 Total Shots 6
10 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 0
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Albirex Niigata vs Machida Zelvia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Albirex Niigata cruised past Machida Zelvia 5-0. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 27% / 35% — and on the day Albirex Niigata made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Albirex Niigata had 58% of the ball to Machida Zelvia's 42%, shots finished 20-6.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Albirex Niigata had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Albirex Niigata and 1.00 for Machida Zelvia.

What was the final score of Albirex Niigata vs Machida Zelvia?

Albirex Niigata 5-0 Machida Zelvia in the Japan - League Cup on 04/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Albirex Niigata vs Machida Zelvia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Albirex Niigata win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Albirex Niigata 38%, draw 27%, Machida Zelvia 35%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Albirex Niigata), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Albirex Niigata) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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