Kawasaki Frontale 1-0 Ventforet Kofu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - League Cup, 4 Sep 2024

📅04/09/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.53
Draw
28%
4.08
Away
22%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.21
Over 2.5
54%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.73
No
47%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.42
2-3 Goals
38%
1.89
4-5 Goals
25%
2.93
6+ Goals
11%
8.66
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
10%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
61%
-11.4pp
28%
Draw
21%
+6.4pp
22%
Away Win
18%
+5.0pp
46%
Under 2.5
41%
+4.7pp
54%
Over 2.5
59%
-4.7pp
53%
BTTS Yes
54%
-0.4pp
47%
BTTS No
46%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kawasaki Frontale EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Ventforet Kofu EU Bookmakers 21%
-17% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
1.65/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.23
-17% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +47% / +41%
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
449 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 253 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.6 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kawasaki Frontale
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Ventforet Kofu
2.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
62% Ball Possession 38%
15 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
634 Passes 234
88% Pass Accuracy 74%
30 Box Touches 13
24 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.08.2017 Ventforet Kofu Ventforet Kofu 2-2 HT 0-1 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale JAP
08.04.2017 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale 1-1 HT 0-0 Ventforet Kofu Ventforet Kofu JAP
06.08.2016 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale 4-0 HT 1-0 Ventforet Kofu Ventforet Kofu JAP
19.03.2016 Ventforet Kofu Ventforet Kofu 0-4 HT 0-2 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale JAP
12.09.2015 Ventforet Kofu Ventforet Kofu 1-3 HT 1-1 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale JAP
25.04.2015 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale 3-0 HT 1-0 Ventforet Kofu Ventforet Kofu JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kawasaki Frontale
1-0
AWAY Ventforet Kofu
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Kawasaki Frontale vs Ventforet Kofu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kawasaki Frontale edged past Ventforet Kofu 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Kawasaki Frontale as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Kawasaki Frontale had 55% of the ball to Ventforet Kofu's 45%, shots finished 15-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kawasaki Frontale had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.83 goals for Kawasaki Frontale and 0.67 for Ventforet Kofu.

What was the final score of Kawasaki Frontale vs Ventforet Kofu?

Kawasaki Frontale 1-0 Ventforet Kofu in the Japan - League Cup on 04/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kawasaki Frontale vs Ventforet Kofu?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kawasaki Frontale win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Kawasaki Frontale 50%, draw 28%, Ventforet Kofu 22%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kawasaki Frontale) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kawasaki Frontale) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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