FK Panevezys 0-1 Hegelmann Litauen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 4 Jul 2024

📅04/07/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.84
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
32%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.71
Over 2.5
49%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.82
No
48%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
32%
+7.7pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.3pp
32%
Away Win
40%
-7.3pp
51%
Under 2.5
55%
-3.7pp
49%
Over 2.5
45%
+3.7pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+1.3pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FK Panevezys EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Hegelmann Litauen EU Bookmakers 43%
+24% / +24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
2.00/0.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.00
+37% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -56% / +59%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
292 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.5 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FK Panevezys
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Hegelmann Litauen
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
18.05.2024 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys 0-2 HT 0-0 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen LIT1
30.03.2024 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen 4-2 HT 2-1 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys LIT1
21.10.2023 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen 0-0 HT 0-0 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys LIT1
07.08.2023 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys 2-2 HT 0-1 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen LIT1
03.06.2023 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys 1-0 HT 1-0 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen LIT1
04.04.2023 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen 2-4 HT 2-1 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys LIT1
POST-MATCH FK Panevezys vs Hegelmann Litauen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hegelmann Litauen edged past FK Panevezys 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 28% / 32% — and on the day Hegelmann Litauen made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for FK Panevezys and 1.67 for Hegelmann Litauen.

What was the final score of FK Panevezys vs Hegelmann Litauen?

FK Panevezys 0-1 Hegelmann Litauen in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 04/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FK Panevezys vs Hegelmann Litauen?

Before kick-off our model rated a FK Panevezys win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split FK Panevezys 40%, draw 28%, Hegelmann Litauen 32%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (FK Panevezys), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FK Panevezys) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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