Lone Star II 0-4 Ocean City Noreasters — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 2, 4 Jul 2024

📅04/07/2024 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
17%
12.23
Draw
24%
7.13
Away
59%
1.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
3.17
Over 2.5
65%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.99
No
45%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
15%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
3%
X/2
13%
X/X
11%
2/1
3%
2/2
40%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
17%
Home Win
5%
+12.3pp
23%
Draw
10%
+13.0pp
59%
Away Win
84%
-25.4pp
35%
Under 2.5
28%
+6.9pp
65%
Over 2.5
72%
-6.9pp
55%
BTTS Yes
46%
+8.9pp
45%
BTTS No
54%
-8.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lone Star II EU Bookmakers 8%
Head to Head
AWAY Ocean City Noreasters EU Bookmakers 90%
-21% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +19% / +19%
0.58/4.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 4.00/0.00
-39% / -38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +59% /
39% Ball Possession 61%
8 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 6
244 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 420 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lone Star II
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Ocean City Noreasters
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 3.67
08.07.2023 Ocean City Noreasters Ocean City Noreasters 3-1 HT 1-0 Lone Star II USL2
22.06.2023 Lone Star II 1-4 HT 0-2 Ocean City Noreasters Ocean City Noreasters USL2
17.07.2022 Lone Star II 0-4 HT 0-0 Ocean City Noreasters Ocean City Noreasters USL2
POST-MATCH Lone Star II vs Ocean City Noreasters
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ocean City Noreasters cruised past Lone Star II 4-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Ocean City Noreasters as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (65%) landed while both teams to score (55%) missed.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Ocean City Noreasters led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Lone Star II and 3.67 for Ocean City Noreasters.

What was the final score of Lone Star II vs Ocean City Noreasters?

Lone Star II 0-4 Ocean City Noreasters in the USA - USL League 2 on 04/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lone Star II vs Ocean City Noreasters?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ocean City Noreasters win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Lone Star II 17%, draw 23%, Ocean City Noreasters 59%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ocean City Noreasters), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ocean City Noreasters) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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