North Carolina II 1-1 Tobacco Road — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 2, 4 Jul 2024

North Carolina II
1-1 HT 1-1
Tobacco Road
📅04/07/2024 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
USA - USL League 2 – 2024

North Carolina II vs Tobacco Road Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.34
Draw
16%
4.95
Away
24%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.96
Over 2.5
61%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.6
No
45%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
31%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
18%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
33%
X/2
8%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
70%
-10.2pp
16%
Draw
17%
-0.8pp
24%
Away Win
13%
+11.1pp
39%
Under 2.5
30%
+8.8pp
61%
Over 2.5
70%
-8.8pp
55%
BTTS Yes
58%
-3.1pp
45%
BTTS No
42%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

North Carolina II v Tobacco Road — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME North Carolina II EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Tobacco Road EU Bookmakers 16%
-80% / -80% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
0.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/3.49
-100% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / -23%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 3
375 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 74%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

North Carolina II vs Tobacco Road Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME North Carolina II
2W-0D-2L
AWAY Tobacco Road
2.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
The Meetings
25.05.2024 Tobacco Road Tobacco Road 0-4 HT 0-0 North Carolina II North Carolina II USL2
09.07.2023 North Carolina II North Carolina II 1-3 HT 1-0 Tobacco Road Tobacco Road USL2
18.06.2023 Tobacco Road Tobacco Road 3-0 HT 0-0 North Carolina II North Carolina II USL2
09.07.2022 Tobacco Road Tobacco Road 1-4 HT 0-1 North Carolina II North Carolina II USL2
POST-MATCH North Carolina II vs Tobacco Road
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

North Carolina II and Tobacco Road shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had North Carolina II at 60% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. On goals, both teams to score (55%) landed while over 2.5 goals (61%) missed.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 2.25 goals for North Carolina II and 1.75 for Tobacco Road.

What was the final score of North Carolina II vs Tobacco Road?

North Carolina II 1-1 Tobacco Road in the USA - USL League 2 on 04/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for North Carolina II vs Tobacco Road?

Before kick-off our model rated a North Carolina II win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split North Carolina II 60%, draw 16%, Tobacco Road 24%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (North Carolina II), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (North Carolina II) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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