Nona 2-1 The Villages — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 2, 4 Jul 2024

📅04/07/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.47
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
32%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.21
Over 2.5
51%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.53
No
44%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
6%
X/X
7%
2/1
5%
2/2
21%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
37%
+6.2pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.2pp
32%
Away Win
39%
-6.2pp
49%
Under 2.5
41%
+8.0pp
51%
Over 2.5
59%
-8.0pp
56%
BTTS Yes
61%
-5.4pp
44%
BTTS No
39%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nona EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY The Villages EU Bookmakers 43%
+19% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
0.42/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.58
-74% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -43% / +150%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
336 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 399 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nona
1W-2D-0L
AWAY The Villages
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
09.07.2023 The Villages The Villages 2-2 Nona Nona USL2
15.06.2023 Nona Nona 0-0 The Villages The Villages USL2
10.07.2022 Nona Nona 1-0 HT 0-0 The Villages The Villages USL2
POST-MATCH Nona vs The Villages
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nona edged past The Villages 2-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Nona as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Nona had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Nona and 0.67 for The Villages.

What was the final score of Nona vs The Villages?

Nona 2-1 The Villages in the USA - USL League 2 on 04/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nona vs The Villages?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nona win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Nona 43%, draw 25%, The Villages 32%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nona), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Nona) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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