Shelbourne 3-1 Cork City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - Premier League, 4 Jul 2025

📅04/07/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.49
Draw
28%
3.94
Away
19%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.82
Over 2.5
43%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.09
No
55%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
2.93
2-3 Goals
44%
1.74
4-5 Goals
20%
3.67
6+ Goals
8%
15.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.93 — our 28% vs market 27.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1.85
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
5%
17.6
X/1
20%
3.81
X/2
6%
13.2
X/X
15%
5.32
2/1
7%
26.0
2/2
7%
12.0
2/X
9%
20.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
63%
-10.1pp
29%
Draw
22%
+6.3pp
19%
Away Win
15%
+3.8pp
57%
Under 2.5
51%
+5.6pp
43%
Over 2.5
49%
-5.6pp
45%
BTTS Yes
44%
+1.7pp
55%
BTTS No
56%
-1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shelbourne EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Cork City EU Bookmakers 18%
-9% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -23%
1.73/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.58
-24% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -31%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
359 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 229 · 69%
28.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.9
22.6 Crosses 15.4
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shelbourne
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Cork City
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.86 xG 1.03
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
393 Passes 272
78% Pass Accuracy 73%
16 Box Touches 16
15 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
30.05.2025 Cork City Cork City 1-1 HT 0-0 Shelbourne Shelbourne İRL
14.03.2025 Shelbourne Shelbourne 1-1 HT 0-0 Cork City Cork City İRL
22.09.2023 Shelbourne Shelbourne 2-1 HT 2-1 Cork City Cork City İRL
28.07.2023 Cork City Cork City 0-2 HT 0-1 Shelbourne Shelbourne İRL
28.04.2023 Shelbourne Shelbourne 2-1 HT 0-0 Cork City Cork City İRL
17.03.2023 Cork City Cork City 0-2 HT 0-1 Shelbourne Shelbourne İRL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shelbourne
3-1
AWAY Cork City
1.26 xG 0.32
67% Ball Possession 33%
16 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 2
623 Passes 270
91% Pass Accuracy 78%
32 Box Touches 10
28 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Shelbourne vs Cork City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shelbourne beat Cork City 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Shelbourne as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Shelbourne had 67% of the ball to Cork City's 33%, shots finished 16-6, expected goals 1.26 to 0.32.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Shelbourne had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Shelbourne and 0.67 for Cork City.

What was the final score of Shelbourne vs Cork City?

Shelbourne 3-1 Cork City in the Ireland - Premier League on 04/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shelbourne vs Cork City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shelbourne win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Shelbourne 53%, draw 29%, Cork City 19%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shelbourne) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Shelbourne) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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