Drogheda United 1-0 Galway United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - Premier League, 4 Jul 2025

📅04/07/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.38
Draw
32%
3.04
Away
31%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.6
Over 2.5
43%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.99
No
47%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.31
2-3 Goals
40%
1.74
4-5 Goals
20%
4.78
6+ Goals
9%
27.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
3.69
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
9%
14.2
X/1
9%
5.1
X/2
12%
5.91
X/X
18%
3.87
2/1
7%
33.5
2/2
13%
4.62
2/X
5%
14.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
38%
-1.4pp
32%
Draw
29%
+2.7pp
31%
Away Win
32%
-1.3pp
57%
Under 2.5
59%
-1.9pp
43%
Over 2.5
41%
+1.9pp
53%
BTTS Yes
46%
+6.4pp
47%
BTTS No
54%
-6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Drogheda United EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Galway United EU Bookmakers 36%
+7% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +14%
1.64/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.27
+101% / +34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / +37%
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
323 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 70%
23.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.6
18.0 Crosses 17.7
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Drogheda United
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Galway United
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.62 xG 1.28
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 6
168 Passes 184
53% Pass Accuracy 58%
14 Box Touches 20
18 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 1
25.04.2025 Galway United Galway United 2-1 HT 0-1 Drogheda United Drogheda United İRL
28.02.2025 Drogheda United Drogheda United 1-1 HT 1-0 Galway United Galway United İRL
23.09.2024 Drogheda United Drogheda United 0-0 HT 0-0 Galway United Galway United İRL
13.06.2024 Galway United Galway United 3-0 HT 1-0 Drogheda United Drogheda United İRL
17.05.2024 Drogheda United Drogheda United 2-3 HT 1-1 Galway United Galway United İRL
08.03.2024 Galway United Galway United 0-0 HT 0-0 Drogheda United Drogheda United İRL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Drogheda United
1-0
AWAY Galway United
0.74 xG 0.81
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 13
1 Shots on Target 1
1 Corners 7
196 Passes 202
63% Pass Accuracy 66%
31 Box Touches 21
15 Crosses 35
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Drogheda United vs Galway United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Drogheda United nicked a narrow win over Galway United 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (37% / 32% / 31%) promised a tight game; Drogheda United found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Drogheda United had 49% of the ball to Galway United's 51%, shots finished 8-13, expected goals 0.74 to 0.81.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Galway United led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Drogheda United and 1.50 for Galway United.

What was the final score of Drogheda United vs Galway United?

Drogheda United 1-0 Galway United in the Ireland - Premier League on 04/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Drogheda United vs Galway United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Drogheda United win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Drogheda United 37%, draw 32%, Galway United 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Drogheda United), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Drogheda United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İRL More Ireland - Premier League
4 Jul 2025
21:45 Shelbourne vs Cork City Analysis →
21:45 Derry City vs Waterford FC Analysis →
21:45 St Patricks vs Bohemians Analysis →