Drogheda United 1-1 Galway United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - Premier League, 28 Feb 2025

📅28/02/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.17
Draw
28%
2.88
Away
41%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.48
Over 2.5
38%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
35%
2.09
No
65%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2.11
2-3 Goals
43%
1.74
4-5 Goals
13%
5.27
6+ Goals
6%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
5.39
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
9%
14.6
X/1
11%
6.5
X/2
15%
4.75
X/X
15%
3.51
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
22%
3.34
2/X
4%
13.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
28%
+2.6pp
28%
Draw
31%
-2.7pp
41%
Away Win
41%
+0.1pp
62%
Under 2.5
64%
-2.3pp
38%
Over 2.5
36%
+2.3pp
35%
BTTS Yes
44%
-8.7pp
65%
BTTS No
56%
+8.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Drogheda United EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Galway United EU Bookmakers 45%
+1% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +0%
1.27/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/0.96
+9% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +12%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
268 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 355 · 79%
20.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.0
21.1 Crosses 24.7
2.9 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Drogheda United
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Galway United
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.23 xG 1.05
51% Ball Possession 49%
8 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 6
193 Passes 173
57% Pass Accuracy 57%
8 Box Touches 21
17 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 1
23.09.2024 Drogheda United Drogheda United 0-0 HT 0-0 Galway United Galway United İRL
13.06.2024 Galway United Galway United 3-0 HT 1-0 Drogheda United Drogheda United İRL
17.05.2024 Drogheda United Drogheda United 2-3 HT 1-1 Galway United Galway United İRL
08.03.2024 Galway United Galway United 0-0 HT 0-0 Drogheda United Drogheda United İRL
20.10.2020 Galway United Galway United 1-3 HT 1-2 Drogheda United Drogheda United İR1
17.08.2020 Drogheda United Drogheda United 1-0 HT 1-0 Galway United Galway United İR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Drogheda United
1-1
AWAY Galway United
1.27 xG 0.83
46% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 6
139 Passes 197
49% Pass Accuracy 59%
21 Box Touches 17
20 Crosses 23
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Drogheda United vs Galway United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Drogheda United and Galway United couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Galway United at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (62%) landed while no to both teams scoring (65%) missed.

On the day, Drogheda United had 46% of the ball to Galway United's 54%, shots finished 14-11, expected goals 1.27 to 0.83.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Drogheda United and 1.17 for Galway United.

What was the final score of Drogheda United vs Galway United?

Drogheda United 1-1 Galway United in the Ireland - Premier League on 28/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Drogheda United vs Galway United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Galway United win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Drogheda United 31%, draw 28%, Galway United 41%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Galway United), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Galway United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İRL More Ireland - Premier League
28 Feb 2025
22:45 Shelbourne vs Shamrock Rovers Analysis →
22:45 St Patricks vs Sligo Rovers Analysis →
22:45 Derry City vs Waterford FC Analysis →
22:45 Cork City vs Bohemians Analysis →