Derry City vs Waterford FC Prediction — Model Probabilities
Derry City v Waterford FC — Team-Based Signals
Derry City vs Waterford FC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Derry City 1-2 Waterford FC — Actual Match Statistics
Waterford FC found just enough to beat Derry City 2-1 on the road. Half-time: 0-2.
Our model won't enjoy this one — Derry City at 65% was the clear read, and the result ignored it. Over a season these leads pay; on a single Tuesday, anything can happen.
No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 48% and both teams to score at 46%, coin-flips both. If anything the market was more convinced: the BTTS-no price stood at 1.63, roughly 61%.
By the numbers, possession split 71% to 29% in Derry City's favour, shots finished 15-9, expected goals 3.26 to 1.04 — the balance of chances actually favoured Derry City.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Derry City had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 2.17 a game for Derry City against 0.33 for Waterford FC.
Derry City vs Waterford FC Result & Final Score
Derry City 1 - 2 Waterford FC in the Ireland - Premier League on 28/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Derry City vs Waterford FC Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Derry City win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Derry City 65%, draw 22%, Waterford FC 13%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.