Derry City vs Waterford FC Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Derry City v Waterford FC — Team-Based Signals
Derry City vs Waterford FC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-2
HT 2-1
Derry City
İRL
2-0
HT 1-0
Waterford FC
İRL
Derry City 1-2 Waterford FC — Actual Match Statistics
Waterford FC edged past Derry City 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.
Our pre-match lean was Derry City at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Derry City had 71% of the ball to Waterford FC's 29%, shots finished 15-9, expected goals 3.26 to 1.04 — on chances, Derry City could feel hard done by.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Derry City had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Derry City and 0.33 for Waterford FC.
What was the final score of Derry City vs Waterford FC?
Derry City 1-2 Waterford FC in the Ireland - Premier League on 28/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Derry City vs Waterford FC?
Before kick-off our model rated a Derry City win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Derry City 51%, draw 25%, Waterford FC 24%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Derry City) went the other way.