Derry City 3-0 Waterford FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - Premier League, 3 Jun 2024

📅03/06/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.49
Draw
27%
3.94
Away
23%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.86
Over 2.5
49%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.99
No
53%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.22
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.64
6+ Goals
10%
14.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.22 — our 28% vs market 25.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1.91
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
9%
17.75
X/1
10%
3.53
X/2
6%
11.85
X/X
13%
5.42
2/1
6%
24.0
2/2
12%
9.95
2/X
5%
18.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
62%
-12.7pp
27%
Draw
22%
+5.2pp
23%
Away Win
16%
+7.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
50%
+0.9pp
49%
Over 2.5
50%
-0.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
46%
+0.8pp
53%
BTTS No
54%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Derry City EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Waterford FC EU Bookmakers 19%
-4% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
1.29/0.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.56/1.49
-6% / +62% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +33%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
306 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 75%
21.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.4
23.3 Crosses 13.0
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Derry City
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Waterford FC
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
2.50 xG 0.64
57% Ball Possession 43%
10 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 5
292 Passes 240
74% Pass Accuracy 70%
29 Box Touches 18
21 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 3
26.04.2024 Waterford FC Waterford FC 0-2 HT 0-1 Derry City Derry City İRL
08.03.2024 Derry City Derry City 3-0 HT 2-0 Waterford FC Waterford FC İRL
02.11.2021 Waterford FC Waterford FC 2-2 HT 2-1 Derry City Derry City İRL
02.07.2021 Derry City Derry City 2-0 HT 1-0 Waterford FC Waterford FC İRL
03.04.2021 Derry City Derry City 1-2 HT 1-1 Waterford FC Waterford FC İRL
02.10.2020 Derry City Derry City 2-0 HT 1-0 Waterford FC Waterford FC İRL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Derry City
3-0
AWAY Waterford FC
1.15 xG 0.58
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 3
326 Passes 263
76% Pass Accuracy 68%
21 Box Touches 11
19 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Derry City vs Waterford FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Derry City cruised past Waterford FC 3-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Derry City as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Derry City had 53% of the ball to Waterford FC's 47%, shots finished 10-15, expected goals 1.15 to 0.58.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Derry City had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Derry City and 0.67 for Waterford FC.

What was the final score of Derry City vs Waterford FC?

Derry City 3-0 Waterford FC in the Ireland - Premier League on 03/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Derry City vs Waterford FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Derry City win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Derry City 50%, draw 27%, Waterford FC 23%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Derry City), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Derry City) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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