St Patricks vs Dundalk Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
St Patricks v Dundalk — Team-Based Signals
St Patricks vs Dundalk Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-1
HT 0-0
Dundalk
İRL
1-1
HT 0-1
St Patricks
İRL
2-1
HT 1-0
Dundalk
İRL
5-0
HT 2-0
St Patricks
İRL
St Patricks 2-3 Dundalk — Actual Match Statistics
Dundalk nicked a narrow win over St Patricks 3-2 away from home. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was St Patricks at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, St Patricks had 66% of the ball to Dundalk's 34%, shots finished 11-12, expected goals 1.72 to 1.09 — on chances, St Patricks could feel hard done by.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, St Patricks had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for St Patricks and 1.33 for Dundalk.
What was the final score of St Patricks vs Dundalk?
St Patricks 2-3 Dundalk in the Ireland - Premier League on 03/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for St Patricks vs Dundalk?
Before kick-off our model rated a St Patricks win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split St Patricks 47%, draw 24%, Dundalk 29%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (St Patricks), Under 2.5 went the other way.